Football · Japan J3-League · 31/10, 06:00

Prediction: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Nara Club

Team pages: Kamatamare Sanuki · Nara Club

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Kamatamare Sanuki1.44

Nara Club1.71

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Kamatamare Sanuki Draw Nara Club

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Kamatamare Sanuki 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLLWL

Nara Club 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Kamatamare Sanuki 2–3–1 Nara Club (6 last)

Nara Club1-1Kamatamare Sanuki
Kamatamare Sanuki3-1Nara Club
Nara Club4-3Kamatamare Sanuki
Kamatamare Sanuki2-0Nara Club
Nara Club2-2Kamatamare Sanuki
Kamatamare Sanuki1-1Nara Club

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kamatamare Sanuki 1408 · Nara Club 1521

	Kamatamare Sanuki	Draw	Nara Club
Our model	31%	26%	43%
Market	31%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nara Club (rating 1408 vs 1521).
H2H favours Kamatamare Sanuki: 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kamatamare Sanuki	Nara Club
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.2	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	2.5 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.40

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
05:50 +18’	2.88	3.40	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamatamare Sanuki 2–3–1 Nara Club

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Nara Club	1-1 HT 0-1	Kamatamare Sanuki
22/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Kamatamare Sanuki	3-1 HT 2-1	Nara Club
06/09/25 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	4-3 HT 0-0	Kamatamare Sanuki
23/02/25 Japan J3-League	Kamatamare Sanuki	2-0 HT 1-0	Nara Club
26/10/24 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	2-2 HT 0-1	Kamatamare Sanuki
24/03/24 Japan J3-League	Kamatamare Sanuki	1-1 HT 0-1	Nara Club

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	13	9	2	2	27	16	29
2	Ehime FC	13	8	2	3	30	19	26
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	13	8	2	3	19	9	26
4	FC Osaka	13	6	5	2	23	13	23
5	Roasso Kumamoto	13	6	5	2	15	7	23
6	Nara Club	13	7	2	4	23	21	23
7	FC Gifu	13	7	1	5	24	13	22
8	Sagamihara	13	6	4	3	21	14	22
9	FC Ryukyu	13	6	2	5	16	15	20
10	Zweigen Kanazawa	13	5	2	6	23	19	17
11	Parceiro Nagano	13	5	2	6	17	19	17
12	Giravanz Kitakyushu	13	4	4	5	19	22	16
13	Gainare Tottori	13	4	3	6	13	23	15
14	Fukushima Utd	13	4	2	7	26	29	14
15	Matsumoto Y FC	13	3	5	5	12	15	14
16	Tochigi SC	13	3	5	5	12	16	14
17	Reilac Shiga	13	4	2	7	17	24	14
18	Thespa Gunma	13	4	1	8	12	22	13
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	13	2	2	9	15	25	8
20	Kochi United	13	1	3	9	5	28	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kamatamare Sanuki	Nara Club
Zweigen Kanazawa	3-1 W	1-0 W
Roasso Kumamoto	0-3 L	2-2 D
FC Gifu	3-4 L	2-1 W
FC Ryukyu	0-1 L	1-3 L
Reilac Shiga	0-3 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nara Club (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kamatamare Sanuki

LLLLLDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
21/10	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	2-1	3-1	0	2	W
18/10	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
09/10	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	2-2	2-3	3	2	L
04/10	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
26/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	2-3	3-4	14	4	L
19/09	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	0	3	L
13/09	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
05/09	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
29/08	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	1-0	3-4	6	1	L

Nara Club

DDWWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	1-2	1-3	9	3	L
21/10	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	7	2	L
17/10	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
10/10	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
03/10	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
26/09	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	2-0	4-1	5	2	W
19/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	2-0	3-2	7	2	W
12/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
06/09	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	1-2	2-2	5	3	D
29/08	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	0-0	2-2	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Nara Club?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nara Club win (43%). Probabilities: Kamatamare Sanuki 31%, draw 26%, Nara Club 43%.

How many goals are expected in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Nara Club?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Kamatamare Sanuki 1.44 · Nara Club 1.71), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Nara Club?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.