Football · Japan J3-League · 31/10, 08:00

Prediction: Parceiro Nagano vs Reilac Shiga

Team pages: Parceiro Nagano · Reilac Shiga

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Parceiro Nagano1.28
Reilac Shiga1.33
1X2
35% 28% 37%
Parceiro Nagano Draw Reilac Shiga
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Parceiro Nagano 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDDWLLWWLL
Reilac Shiga 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWLDDLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Parceiro Nagano 1465 · Reilac Shiga 1429
Parceiro NaganoDrawReilac Shiga
Our model34%29%37%
Market35%28%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Parceiro NaganoReilac Shiga
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.51.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.33.4 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 02.7 / 0

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kagoshima United 13922 271629
2 Ehime FC 13823 301926
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 13823 19926
4 FC Osaka 13652 231323
5 Roasso Kumamoto 13652 15723
6 Nara Club 13724 232123
7 FC Gifu 13715 241322
8 Sagamihara 13643 211422
9 FC Ryukyu 13625 161520
10 Zweigen Kanazawa 13526 231917
11 Parceiro Nagano 13526 171917
12 Giravanz Kitakyushu 13445 192216
13 Gainare Tottori 13436 132315
14 Fukushima Utd 13427 262914
15 Matsumoto Y FC 13355 121514
16 Tochigi SC 13355 121614
17 Reilac Shiga 13427 172414
18 Thespa Gunma 13418 122213
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 13229 15258
20 Kochi United 13139 5286

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentParceiro NaganoReilac Shiga
FC Ryukyu 0-1 L 3-0 W
Nara Club 0-1 L 1-4 L
Fukushima Utd 3-4 L 2-2 D
Tochigi SC 1-1 D 0-1 L
Sagamihara 1-1 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Parceiro Nagano (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Parceiro Nagano

LDDWLLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3-League
0-1 1-3 42 L
21/10 FC Ryukyu
Japan J3-League
0-0 0-1 21 L
18/10 Matsumoto Y FC
Japan J3-League
2-1 2-1 34 W
10/10 Kochi United
Japan J3-League
0-0 3-1 41 W
03/10 Nara Club
Japan J3-League
0-0 0-1 81 L
26/09 Fukushima Utd
Japan J3-League
1-1 3-4 51 L
20/09 FC Gifu
Japan J3-League
0-0 1-0 73 W
13/09 Tochigi SC
Japan J3-League
1-0 1-1 30 D
05/09 Sagamihara
Japan J3-League
1-0 1-1 32 D
30/08 Thespa Gunma
Japan J3-League
1-0 1-2 44 L

Reilac Shiga

LWLWLDDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3-League
0-3 1-5 54 L
21/10 Tochigi SC
Japan J3-League
0-0 0-1 44 L
18/10 Sagamihara
Japan J3-League
0-0 0-2 84 L
10/10 Fukushima Utd
Japan J3-League
1-1 2-2 51 D
02/10 Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J3-League
0-0 0-0 33 D
26/09 Nara Club
Japan J3-League
0-2 1-4 132 L
20/09 FC Ryukyu
Japan J3-League
1-0 3-0 81 W
13/09 Kagoshima United
Japan J3-League
0-1 1-2 65 L
05/09 Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3-League
1-0 3-0 82 W
30/08 Gainare Tottori
Japan J3-League
0-0 0-1 101 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Parceiro Nagano vs Reilac Shiga?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Reilac Shiga win (37%). Probabilities: Parceiro Nagano 35%, draw 28%, Reilac Shiga 37%.

How many goals are expected in Parceiro Nagano vs Reilac Shiga?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Parceiro Nagano 1.28 · Reilac Shiga 1.33), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Parceiro Nagano vs Reilac Shiga?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.