Football · Japan J3-League · 31/10, 08:00

Prediction: FC Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori

Team pages: FC Ryukyu · Gainare Tottori

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

FC Ryukyu1.55

Gainare Tottori1.05

1X2

48% 27% 25%

FC Ryukyu Draw Gainare Tottori

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ryukyu 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLLWWW

Gainare Tottori 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Ryukyu 2–1–3 Gainare Tottori (6 last)

FC Ryukyu1-3Gainare Tottori
Gainare Tottori0-0FC Ryukyu
FC Ryukyu1-0Gainare Tottori
Gainare Tottori2-0FC Ryukyu
FC Ryukyu3-1Gainare Tottori
Gainare Tottori2-1FC Ryukyu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Ryukyu 1510 · Gainare Tottori 1470

	FC Ryukyu	Draw	Gainare Tottori
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Ryukyu (rating 1510 vs 1470).
H2H favours Gainare Tottori: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ryukyu	Gainare Tottori
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.7	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:40 +29’	1.83	3.50	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ryukyu 2–1–3 Gainare Tottori

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	FC Ryukyu	1-3 HT 1-2	Gainare Tottori
08/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Gainare Tottori	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Ryukyu
12/07/25 Japan J3-League	FC Ryukyu	1-0 HT 0-0	Gainare Tottori
03/05/25 Japan J3-League	Gainare Tottori	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Ryukyu
31/08/24 Japan J3-League	FC Ryukyu	3-1 HT 2-0	Gainare Tottori
28/04/24 Japan J3-League	Gainare Tottori	2-1 HT 2-1	FC Ryukyu

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	13	9	2	2	27	16	29
2	Ehime FC	13	8	2	3	30	19	26
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	13	8	2	3	19	9	26
4	FC Osaka	13	6	5	2	23	13	23
5	Roasso Kumamoto	13	6	5	2	15	7	23
6	Nara Club	13	7	2	4	23	21	23
7	FC Gifu	13	7	1	5	24	13	22
8	Sagamihara	13	6	4	3	21	14	22
9	FC Ryukyu	13	6	2	5	16	15	20
10	Zweigen Kanazawa	13	5	2	6	23	19	17
11	Parceiro Nagano	13	5	2	6	17	19	17
12	Giravanz Kitakyushu	13	4	4	5	19	22	16
13	Gainare Tottori	13	4	3	6	13	23	15
14	Fukushima Utd	13	4	2	7	26	29	14
15	Matsumoto Y FC	13	3	5	5	12	15	14
16	Tochigi SC	13	3	5	5	12	16	14
17	Reilac Shiga	13	4	2	7	17	24	14
18	Thespa Gunma	13	4	1	8	12	22	13
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	13	2	2	9	15	25	8
20	Kochi United	13	1	3	9	5	28	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ryukyu	Gainare Tottori
Nara Club	3-1 W	2-3 L
Thespa Gunma	1-2 L	1-1 D
Zweigen Kanazawa	0-2 L	1-4 L
Reilac Shiga	0-3 L	1-0 W
Giravanz Kitakyushu	3-0 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Ryukyu (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ryukyu

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Nara Club Japan J3-League	2-1	3-1	2	3	W
21/10	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	11	1	W
17/10	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
10/10	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	1-1	1-2	1	0	L
03/10	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
26/09	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	7	0	D
20/09	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
13/09	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
09/09	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-0	3-0	4	1	W
05/09	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-0	1-2	7	2	L

Gainare Tottori

WLWLLWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Kochi United Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
21/10	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	0-0	0-3	3	2	L
17/10	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
11/10	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
03/10	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
26/09	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-1	1-4	1	3	L
19/09	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-2	2-3	5	2	L
12/09	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	2-1	4-2	1	1	W
05/09	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
30/08	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ryukyu win (48%). Probabilities: FC Ryukyu 48%, draw 27%, Gainare Tottori 25%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori?

The model expects 2.61 goals (FC Ryukyu 1.55 · Gainare Tottori 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.