Football · Japan J3-League · 31/10, 06:00

Prediction: Kochi United vs Sagamihara

Team pages: Kochi United · Sagamihara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Kochi United0.93

Sagamihara1.56

1X2

22% 27% 51%

Kochi United Draw Sagamihara

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kochi United 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLLLLD

Sagamihara 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLDWWWLD

Head-to-head

Kochi United 0–1–1 Sagamihara (2 last)

Kochi United0-1Sagamihara
Sagamihara0-0Kochi United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kochi United 1391 · Sagamihara 1500

	Kochi United	Draw	Sagamihara
Our model	21%	28%	51%
Market	22%	26%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sagamihara (rating 1391 vs 1500).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kochi United	Sagamihara
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 2	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.2	3.8 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.00

X3.50

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:07 +2’	4.00	3.50	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kochi United 0–1–1 Sagamihara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/10/25 Japan J3-League	Kochi United	0-1 HT 0-0	Sagamihara
14/06/25 Japan J3-League	Sagamihara	0-0 HT 0-0	Kochi United

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	13	9	2	2	27	16	29
2	Ehime FC	13	8	2	3	30	19	26
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	13	8	2	3	19	9	26
4	FC Osaka	13	6	5	2	23	13	23
5	Roasso Kumamoto	13	6	5	2	15	7	23
6	Nara Club	13	7	2	4	23	21	23
7	FC Gifu	13	7	1	5	24	13	22
8	Sagamihara	13	6	4	3	21	14	22
9	FC Ryukyu	13	6	2	5	16	15	20
10	Zweigen Kanazawa	13	5	2	6	23	19	17
11	Parceiro Nagano	13	5	2	6	17	19	17
12	Giravanz Kitakyushu	13	4	4	5	19	22	16
13	Gainare Tottori	13	4	3	6	13	23	15
14	Fukushima Utd	13	4	2	7	26	29	14
15	Matsumoto Y FC	13	3	5	5	12	15	14
16	Tochigi SC	13	3	5	5	12	16	14
17	Reilac Shiga	13	4	2	7	17	24	14
18	Thespa Gunma	13	4	1	8	12	22	13
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	13	2	2	9	15	25	8
20	Kochi United	13	1	3	9	5	28	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kochi United	Sagamihara
Renofa Yamaguchi	0-2 L	2-2 D
Parceiro Nagano	1-3 L	1-1 D
Giravanz Kitakyushu	0-2 L	1-2 L
FC Osaka	0-4 L	1-0 W
Tochigi SC	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sagamihara (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kochi United

LLDLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
21/10	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
18/10	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
10/10	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	1-3	3	1	L
03/10	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
26/09	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-1	0-4	2	2	L
19/09	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
13/09	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	9	1	L
30/08	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	2	4	L

Sagamihara

LDWLDWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
21/10	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
18/10	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-0	2-0	11	4	W
09/10	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	2-2	3-2	14	2	W
03/10	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
26/09	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	2-0	2-2	3	2	D
20/09	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	9	2	L
13/09	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	2-1	3-1	10	5	W
05/09	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
29/08	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-2	1-2	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kochi United vs Sagamihara?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sagamihara win (51%). Probabilities: Kochi United 22%, draw 27%, Sagamihara 51%.

How many goals are expected in Kochi United vs Sagamihara?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Kochi United 0.93 · Sagamihara 1.56), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kochi United vs Sagamihara?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.