Football · Japan J3-League · 21/10, 12:00

Prediction: Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Team pages: Ehime FC · Renofa Yamaguchi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Ehime FC1.53

Renofa Yamaguchi1.29

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Ehime FC Draw Renofa Yamaguchi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Ehime FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWDWWL

Renofa Yamaguchi 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Ehime FC 1–5–0 Renofa Yamaguchi (6 last)

Ehime FC2-0Renofa Yamaguchi
Renofa Yamaguchi1-1Ehime FC
Ehime FC1-1Renofa Yamaguchi
Renofa Yamaguchi1-1Ehime FC
Ehime FC1-1Renofa Yamaguchi
Renofa Yamaguchi2-2Ehime FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ehime FC 1541 · Renofa Yamaguchi 1560

	Ehime FC	Draw	Renofa Yamaguchi
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ehime FC	Renofa Yamaguchi
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	1.6 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.8	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.30

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:58 +5’	2.15	3.30	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ehime FC 1–5–0 Renofa Yamaguchi

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/25 Japan J2-League	Ehime FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Renofa Yamaguchi
05/04/25 Japan J2-League	Renofa Yamaguchi	1-1 HT 1-0	Ehime FC
03/11/24 Japan J2-League	Ehime FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Renofa Yamaguchi
24/03/24 Japan J2-League	Renofa Yamaguchi	1-1 HT 0-1	Ehime FC
05/12/21 Japan J2-League	Ehime FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Renofa Yamaguchi
05/06/21 Japan J2-League	Renofa Yamaguchi	2-2 HT 0-0	Ehime FC

Standings · Japan J3-League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	11	8	2	1	23	13	26
2	Ehime FC	11	7	2	2	26	14	23
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	11	7	2	2	16	7	23
4	Nara Club	11	7	2	2	22	16	23
5	Sagamihara	11	6	3	2	20	12	21
6	FC Gifu	11	6	1	4	21	10	19
7	FC Osaka	11	4	5	2	19	12	17
8	Roasso Kumamoto	11	4	5	2	10	6	17
9	Parceiro Nagano	11	5	2	4	16	15	17
10	Zweigen Kanazawa	11	4	2	5	17	15	14
11	Reilac Shiga	11	4	2	5	16	18	14
12	FC Ryukyu	11	4	2	5	12	14	14
13	Gainare Tottori	11	4	2	5	13	20	14
14	Giravanz Kitakyushu	11	3	4	4	15	19	13
15	Matsumoto Y FC	11	2	5	4	10	13	11
16	Tochigi SC	11	2	4	5	11	16	10
17	Thespa Gunma	11	3	1	7	11	20	10
18	Fukushima Utd	11	2	2	7	20	26	8
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	11	1	2	8	12	23	5
20	Kochi United	11	1	2	8	4	25	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ehime FC	Renofa Yamaguchi
Thespa Gunma	3-1 W	2-0 W
FC Ryukyu	1-1 D	1-0 W
FC Osaka	1-2 L	0-0 D
Zweigen Kanazawa	1-0 W	2-1 W
Gainare Tottori	4-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Renofa Yamaguchi (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ehime FC

WDWWLWDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-2	2-4	4	0	L
11/10	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
03/10	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-1	3-1	9	1	W
26/09	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
19/09	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
14/09	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
05/09	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	2-1	4-2	8	4	W
30/08	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
22/08	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
16/08	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	4-0	7	1	W

Renofa Yamaguchi

WLDWWWDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Kochi United Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
11/10	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
03/10	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	2-0	2-0	1	3	W
26/09	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	0-2	2-2	11	2	D
20/09	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
12/09	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
05/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
30/08	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
22/08	Nara Club Japan J3-League	1-1	1-3	5	3	L
15/08	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ehime FC win (42%). Probabilities: Ehime FC 42%, draw 27%, Renofa Yamaguchi 31%.

How many goals are expected in Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Ehime FC 1.53 · Renofa Yamaguchi 1.29), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.