Football · Japan J3-League · 21/10, 12:00
Prediction: Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori
Team pages: Roasso Kumamoto · Gainare Tottori
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Roasso Kumamoto1.45
Gainare Tottori0.87
1X2
Roasso Kumamoto
Draw
Gainare Tottori
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Roasso Kumamoto
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Gainare Tottori
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Roasso Kumamoto
2–2–2
Gainare Tottori
(6 last)
- Gainare Tottori1-1Roasso Kumamoto
- Gainare Tottori0-2Roasso Kumamoto
- Roasso Kumamoto0-1Gainare Tottori
- Gainare Tottori1-2Roasso Kumamoto
- Roasso Kumamoto1-1Gainare Tottori
- Gainare Tottori2-1Roasso Kumamoto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roasso Kumamoto 1520 · Gainare Tottori 1488
| Roasso Kumamoto | Draw | Gainare Tottori | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Roasso Kumamoto | Gainare Tottori | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.5 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roasso Kumamoto 2–2–2 Gainare Tottori
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/26 Japan FA Cup | Gainare Tottori | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Roasso Kumamoto |
| 25/04/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Gainare Tottori | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Roasso Kumamoto |
| 15/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Roasso Kumamoto | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gainare Tottori |
| 28/08/21 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Roasso Kumamoto |
| 20/06/21 Japan J3-League | Roasso Kumamoto | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Gainare Tottori |
| 20/12/20 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Roasso Kumamoto |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | Sagamihara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Gifu | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Osaka | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Parceiro Nagano | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
| 10 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Reilac Shiga | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 14 |
| 12 | FC Ryukyu | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 13 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Y FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi SC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespa Gunma | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 10 |
| 18 | Fukushima Utd | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Roasso Kumamoto | Gainare Tottori |
|---|---|---|
| Ehime FC | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Reilac Shiga | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Thespa Gunma | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Matsumoto Y FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Fukushima Utd | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Nara Club | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Roasso Kumamoto (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roasso Kumamoto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 11/10 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/10 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 12/09 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Gainare Tottori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Roasso Kumamoto win (51%). Probabilities: Roasso Kumamoto 51%, draw 27%, Gainare Tottori 22%.
How many goals are expected in Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Roasso Kumamoto 1.45 · Gainare Tottori 0.87), with a 59% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.