Football · Japan J3-League · 24/10, 07:00

Prediction: Nara Club vs FC Ryukyu

Team pages: Nara Club · FC Ryukyu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Nara Club1.62

FC Ryukyu1.33

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Nara Club Draw FC Ryukyu

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Nara Club 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWWWWL

FC Ryukyu 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDLLWW

Head-to-head

Nara Club 4–2 FC Ryukyu (6 last)

FC Ryukyu0-2Nara Club
Nara Club2-1FC Ryukyu
FC Ryukyu1-4Nara Club
Nara Club1-2FC Ryukyu
Nara Club0-1FC Ryukyu
FC Ryukyu0-2Nara Club

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nara Club 1560 · FC Ryukyu 1490

	Nara Club	Draw	FC Ryukyu
Our model	43%	27%	30%
Market	44%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nara Club (rating 1560 vs 1490).
H2H favours Nara Club: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nara Club	FC Ryukyu
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	3.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.50

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.07
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.64 ★
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:41 +6’	2.05	3.50	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:38 +9’	2.07	3.64	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nara Club 4–0–2 FC Ryukyu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/10/25 Japan J3-League	FC Ryukyu	0-2 HT 0-1	Nara Club
08/03/25 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	2-1 HT 0-1	FC Ryukyu
21/07/24 Japan J3-League	FC Ryukyu	1-4 HT 0-2	Nara Club
24/02/24 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	1-2 HT 0-2	FC Ryukyu
23/09/23 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Ryukyu
08/04/23 Japan J3-League	FC Ryukyu	0-2 HT 0-2	Nara Club

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	12	9	2	1	26	14	29
2	Ehime FC	12	8	2	2	28	15	26
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	12	7	2	3	17	9	23
4	Nara Club	12	7	2	3	22	18	23
5	FC Gifu	12	7	1	4	23	11	22
6	Sagamihara	12	6	3	3	21	14	21
7	FC Osaka	12	5	5	2	21	12	20
8	Roasso Kumamoto	12	5	5	2	13	6	20
9	Parceiro Nagano	12	5	2	5	16	16	17
10	FC Ryukyu	12	5	2	5	13	14	17
11	Zweigen Kanazawa	12	4	2	6	18	18	14
12	Matsumoto Y FC	12	3	5	4	12	13	14
13	Reilac Shiga	12	4	2	6	16	19	14
14	Gainare Tottori	12	4	2	6	13	23	14
15	Tochigi SC	12	3	4	5	12	16	13
16	Giravanz Kitakyushu	12	3	4	5	16	21	13
17	Fukushima Utd	12	3	2	7	22	27	11
18	Thespa Gunma	12	3	1	8	11	22	10
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	12	2	2	8	15	24	8
20	Kochi United	12	1	2	9	5	28	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nara Club	FC Ryukyu
Zweigen Kanazawa	1-0 W	0-2 L
Giravanz Kitakyushu	2-0 W	3-0 W
Parceiro Nagano	1-0 W	1-0 W
Reilac Shiga	4-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nara Club (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nara Club

WDDWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	7	2	L
17/10	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
10/10	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
03/10	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
26/09	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	2-0	4-1	5	2	W
19/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	2-0	3-2	7	2	W
12/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
06/09	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	1-2	2-2	5	3	D
29/08	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	0-0	2-2	2	2	D
22/08	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	1-1	3-1	5	3	W

FC Ryukyu

WLWWLDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	11	1	W
17/10	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
10/10	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	1-1	1-2	1	0	L
03/10	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
26/09	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	7	0	D
20/09	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
13/09	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
09/09	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-0	3-0	4	1	W
05/09	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-0	1-2	7	2	L
29/08	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	2-0	2-1	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nara Club vs FC Ryukyu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nara Club win (43%). Probabilities: Nara Club 43%, draw 26%, FC Ryukyu 31%.

How many goals are expected in Nara Club vs FC Ryukyu?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Nara Club 1.62 · FC Ryukyu 1.33), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nara Club vs FC Ryukyu?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.