Football · Japan J3-League · 03/11, 06:00

Prediction: Kochi United vs Ehime FC

Team pages: Kochi United · Ehime FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Kochi United1.04

Ehime FC1.66

1X2

23% 26% 51%

Kochi United Draw Ehime FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kochi United 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Ehime FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kochi United 0–2 Ehime FC (2 last)

Kochi United0-1Ehime FC
Ehime FC1-0Kochi United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kochi United 1374 · Ehime FC 1505

	Kochi United	Draw	Ehime FC
Our model	23%	27%	51%
Market	23%	25%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ehime FC (rating 1374 vs 1505).
H2H favours Ehime FC: 2-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kochi United	Ehime FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 2.1	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.2	2.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	1.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.80

X3.60

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.87
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.84 ★
2	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.76

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:47 +17’	3.80	3.60	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:42 +21’	3.87	3.84	1.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kochi United 0–0–2 Ehime FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Kochi United	0-1 HT 0-1	Ehime FC
22/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Ehime FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Kochi United

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	14	9	3	2	28	17	30
2	Ehime FC	14	8	2	4	30	21	26
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	14	8	2	4	19	11	26
4	Nara Club	14	8	2	4	25	21	26
5	FC Gifu	14	8	1	5	25	13	25
6	Sagamihara	14	7	4	3	24	15	25
7	Roasso Kumamoto	14	6	6	2	16	8	24
8	FC Osaka	14	6	5	3	23	14	23
9	FC Ryukyu	14	7	2	5	21	17	23
10	Zweigen Kanazawa	14	6	2	6	27	19	20
11	Parceiro Nagano	14	6	2	6	20	20	20
12	Giravanz Kitakyushu	14	5	4	5	21	22	19
13	Matsumoto Y FC	14	4	5	5	15	16	17
14	Tochigi SC	14	4	5	5	14	16	17
15	Gainare Tottori	14	4	3	7	15	28	15
16	Fukushima Utd	14	4	2	8	27	32	14
17	Reilac Shiga	14	4	2	8	18	27	14
18	Thespa Gunma	14	4	1	9	12	26	13
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	14	2	2	10	15	27	8
20	Kochi United	14	1	3	10	6	31	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kochi United	Ehime FC
Kagoshima United	1-3 L	2-4 L
Renofa Yamaguchi	0-2 L	2-1 W
Giravanz Kitakyushu	0-2 L	4-2 W
FC Osaka	0-4 L	1-2 L
Thespa Gunma	0-1 L	3-1 W
Tochigi SC	0-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ehime FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kochi United

LDLLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	1-3	1-3	2	4	L
25/10	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
21/10	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
18/10	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
10/10	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	1-3	3	1	L
03/10	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
26/09	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-1	0-4	2	2	L
19/09	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
13/09	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	9	1	L

Ehime FC

WLWDWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
25/10	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	1-2	2-4	6	1	L
21/10	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	2-0	2-1	7	5	W
17/10	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-2	2-4	4	0	L
11/10	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
03/10	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-1	3-1	9	1	W
26/09	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
19/09	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
14/09	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
05/09	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	2-1	4-2	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kochi United vs Ehime FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ehime FC win (51%). Probabilities: Kochi United 23%, draw 26%, Ehime FC 51%.

How many goals are expected in Kochi United vs Ehime FC?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Kochi United 1.04 · Ehime FC 1.66), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kochi United vs Ehime FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.