Football · Japan J3-League · 03/11, 06:00
Prediction: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Y FC
Team pages: Kamatamare Sanuki · Matsumoto Y FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Kamatamare Sanuki0.9
Matsumoto Y FC1.43
1X2
Kamatamare Sanuki
Draw
Matsumoto Y FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Kamatamare Sanuki
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Matsumoto Y FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kamatamare Sanuki
1–1–4
Matsumoto Y FC
(6 last)
- Matsumoto Y FC1-2Kamatamare Sanuki
- Kamatamare Sanuki0-2Matsumoto Y FC
- Kamatamare Sanuki1-4Matsumoto Y FC
- Matsumoto Y FC2-1Kamatamare Sanuki
- Kamatamare Sanuki0-0Matsumoto Y FC
- Matsumoto Y FC2-0Kamatamare Sanuki
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kamatamare Sanuki 1402 · Matsumoto Y FC 1499
| Kamatamare Sanuki | Draw | Matsumoto Y FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 29% | 48% |
| Market | 24% | 26% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matsumoto Y FC (rating 1402 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Matsumoto Y FC: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kamatamare Sanuki | Matsumoto Y FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 3.9 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamatamare Sanuki 1–1–4 Matsumoto Y FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/25 Japan J3-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
| 13/04/25 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Matsumoto Y FC |
| 22/09/24 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Matsumoto Y FC |
| 20/04/24 Japan J3-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
| 26/11/23 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Matsumoto Y FC |
| 17/06/23 Japan J3-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
Standings · Japan J3-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 30 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 26 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Gifu | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Roasso Kumamoto | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| 8 | FC Osaka | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 23 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 23 |
| 10 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 19 | 20 |
| 11 | Parceiro Nagano | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| 12 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 19 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Y FC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 17 |
| 15 | Gainare Tottori | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 15 |
| 16 | Fukushima Utd | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 14 |
| 17 | Reilac Shiga | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 14 |
| 18 | Thespa Gunma | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 8 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kamatamare Sanuki | Matsumoto Y FC |
|---|---|---|
| Thespa Gunma | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Sagamihara | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Tochigi SC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Matsumoto Y FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kamatamare Sanuki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/10 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 21/10 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/10 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
2-3 | 3-4 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Matsumoto Y FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 21/10 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/10 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Y FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Matsumoto Y FC win (49%). Probabilities: Kamatamare Sanuki 23%, draw 27%, Matsumoto Y FC 49%.
How many goals are expected in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Y FC?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Kamatamare Sanuki 0.9 · Matsumoto Y FC 1.43), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Y FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.