Prediction: Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Reilac Shiga
Team pages: Giravanz Kitakyushu · Reilac Shiga
- Reilac Shiga1-0Giravanz Kitakyushu
- Giravanz Kitakyushu1-2Reilac Shiga
| Giravanz Kitakyushu | Draw | Reilac Shiga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giravanz Kitakyushu (rating 1486 vs 1445).
- H2H favours Reilac Shiga: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Giravanz Kitakyushu | Reilac Shiga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 2.9 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giravanz Kitakyushu 0–0–2 Reilac Shiga
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Reilac Shiga | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
| 28/02/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Reilac Shiga |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 30 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 26 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Gifu | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Roasso Kumamoto | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| 8 | FC Osaka | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 23 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 23 |
| 10 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 19 | 20 |
| 11 | Parceiro Nagano | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| 12 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 19 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Y FC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 17 |
| 15 | Gainare Tottori | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 15 |
| 16 | Fukushima Utd | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 14 |
| 17 | Reilac Shiga | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 14 |
| 18 | Thespa Gunma | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 8 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Giravanz Kitakyushu | Reilac Shiga |
|---|---|---|
| Parceiro Nagano | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Fukushima Utd | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Nara Club | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Kagoshima United | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Sagamihara | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Ryukyu | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Giravanz Kitakyushu (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giravanz Kitakyushu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 21/10 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 09/09 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
Reilac Shiga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/10 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/10 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 02/10 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Reilac Shiga?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Giravanz Kitakyushu win (38%). Probabilities: Giravanz Kitakyushu 38%, draw 27%, Reilac Shiga 36%.
How many goals are expected in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Reilac Shiga?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Giravanz Kitakyushu 1.5 · Reilac Shiga 1.45), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Reilac Shiga?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.