Football · Japan J3-League · 25/10, 05:00

Prediction: Gainare Tottori vs Kochi United

Team pages: Gainare Tottori · Kochi United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Gainare Tottori1.57

Kochi United1.18

1X2

45% 28% 27%

Gainare Tottori Draw Kochi United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Gainare Tottori 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWLDL

Kochi United 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Gainare Tottori 1–1–0 Kochi United (2 last)

Gainare Tottori1-0Kochi United
Kochi United0-0Gainare Tottori

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gainare Tottori 1477 · Kochi United 1384

	Gainare Tottori	Draw	Kochi United
Our model	45%	27%	27%
Market	45%	28%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gainare Tottori (rating 1477 vs 1384).
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gainare Tottori	Kochi United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	0.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	1.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.25

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:27 +4’	2.00	3.25	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gainare Tottori 1–1–0 Kochi United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/25 Japan J3-League	Gainare Tottori	1-0 HT 0-0	Kochi United
23/02/25 Japan J3-League	Kochi United	0-0 HT 0-0	Gainare Tottori

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	12	9	2	1	26	14	29
2	Ehime FC	12	8	2	2	28	15	26
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	12	7	2	3	17	9	23
4	Nara Club	12	7	2	3	22	18	23
5	FC Gifu	12	7	1	4	23	11	22
6	Sagamihara	12	6	3	3	21	14	21
7	FC Osaka	12	5	5	2	21	12	20
8	Roasso Kumamoto	12	5	5	2	13	6	20
9	Parceiro Nagano	12	5	2	5	16	16	17
10	FC Ryukyu	12	5	2	5	13	14	17
11	Zweigen Kanazawa	12	4	2	6	18	18	14
12	Matsumoto Y FC	12	3	5	4	12	13	14
13	Reilac Shiga	12	4	2	6	16	19	14
14	Gainare Tottori	12	4	2	6	13	23	14
15	Tochigi SC	12	3	4	5	12	16	13
16	Giravanz Kitakyushu	12	3	4	5	16	21	13
17	Fukushima Utd	12	3	2	7	22	27	11
18	Thespa Gunma	12	3	1	8	11	22	10
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	12	2	2	8	15	24	8
20	Kochi United	12	1	2	9	5	28	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gainare Tottori	Kochi United
Roasso Kumamoto	0-3 L	0-2 L
Thespa Gunma	1-1 D	0-1 L
Zweigen Kanazawa	1-4 L	1-1 D
Giravanz Kitakyushu	4-2 W	0-2 L
Renofa Yamaguchi	0-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Kochi United (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gainare Tottori

WWLWLLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	0-0	0-3	3	2	L
17/10	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
11/10	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
03/10	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
26/09	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-1	1-4	1	3	L
19/09	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-2	2-3	5	2	L
12/09	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	2-1	4-2	1	1	W
05/09	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
30/08	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
22/08	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	0-0	2-1	2	2	W

Kochi United

WLLDLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
18/10	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
10/10	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	1-3	3	1	L
03/10	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
26/09	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-1	0-4	2	2	L
19/09	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
13/09	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	9	1	L
30/08	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
23/08	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	0-0	2-1	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gainare Tottori vs Kochi United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gainare Tottori win (45%). Probabilities: Gainare Tottori 45%, draw 28%, Kochi United 27%.

How many goals are expected in Gainare Tottori vs Kochi United?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Gainare Tottori 1.57 · Kochi United 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gainare Tottori vs Kochi United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.