Football · Japan J3-League · 03/11, 08:00

Prediction: FC Ryukyu vs FC Gifu

Team pages: FC Ryukyu · FC Gifu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

FC Ryukyu1.17

FC Gifu1.34

1X2

32% 27% 40%

FC Ryukyu Draw FC Gifu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ryukyu 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Gifu 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Ryukyu 1–1–4 FC Gifu (6 last)

FC Gifu1-0FC Ryukyu
FC Ryukyu1-0FC Gifu
FC Ryukyu0-2FC Gifu
FC Gifu2-2FC Ryukyu
FC Ryukyu0-1FC Gifu
FC Gifu3-1FC Ryukyu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Ryukyu 1527 · FC Gifu 1497

	FC Ryukyu	Draw	FC Gifu
Our model	31%	29%	39%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Gifu: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ryukyu	FC Gifu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	3.7 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.50

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.77
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.36 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:54 +13’	2.75	3.50	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:57 +7’	2.77	3.32	2.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ryukyu 1–1–4 FC Gifu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/25 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Ryukyu
28/06/25 Japan J3-League	FC Ryukyu	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Gifu
24/11/24 Japan J3-League	FC Ryukyu	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Gifu
02/06/24 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	2-2 HT 0-2	FC Ryukyu
25/11/23 Japan J3-League	FC Ryukyu	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Gifu
01/04/23 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Ryukyu

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	14	9	3	2	28	17	30
2	Ehime FC	14	8	2	4	30	21	26
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	14	8	2	4	19	11	26
4	Nara Club	14	8	2	4	25	21	26
5	FC Gifu	14	8	1	5	25	13	25
6	Sagamihara	14	7	4	3	24	15	25
7	Roasso Kumamoto	14	6	6	2	16	8	24
8	FC Osaka	14	6	5	3	23	14	23
9	FC Ryukyu	14	7	2	5	21	17	23
10	Zweigen Kanazawa	14	6	2	6	27	19	20
11	Parceiro Nagano	14	6	2	6	20	20	20
12	Giravanz Kitakyushu	14	5	4	5	21	22	19
13	Matsumoto Y FC	14	4	5	5	15	16	17
14	Tochigi SC	14	4	5	5	14	16	17
15	Gainare Tottori	14	4	3	7	15	28	15
16	Fukushima Utd	14	4	2	8	27	32	14
17	Reilac Shiga	14	4	2	8	18	27	14
18	Thespa Gunma	14	4	1	9	12	26	13
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	14	2	2	10	15	27	8
20	Kochi United	14	1	3	10	6	31	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ryukyu	FC Gifu
Gainare Tottori	5-2 W	1-0 W
Nara Club	3-1 W	1-2 L
Parceiro Nagano	1-0 W	0-1 L
Zweigen Kanazawa	0-2 L	0-1 L
Kamatamare Sanuki	1-0 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Ryukyu (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ryukyu

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	1-0	5-2	3	4	W
24/10	Nara Club Japan J3-League	2-1	3-1	2	3	W
21/10	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	11	1	W
17/10	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
10/10	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	1-1	1-2	1	0	L
03/10	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
26/09	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	7	0	D
20/09	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
13/09	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
09/09	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-0	3-0	4	1	W

FC Gifu

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
25/10	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	1-0	1-2	6	4	L
21/10	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	0-1	2-1	11	3	W
17/10	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
11/10	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
03/10	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
26/09	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	3-2	4-3	4	4	W
20/09	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
12/09	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
05/09	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ryukyu vs FC Gifu?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Gifu win (40%). Probabilities: FC Ryukyu 32%, draw 27%, FC Gifu 40%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ryukyu vs FC Gifu?

The model expects 2.5 goals (FC Ryukyu 1.17 · FC Gifu 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ryukyu vs FC Gifu?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.