Football · Japan J3-League · 25/10, 05:00

Prediction: Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Gifu

Team pages: Roasso Kumamoto · FC Gifu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.18Total

Roasso Kumamoto1.07

FC Gifu1.11

1X2

34% 29% 36%

Roasso Kumamoto Draw FC Gifu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Roasso Kumamoto 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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FC Gifu 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Roasso Kumamoto 3–3 FC Gifu (6 last)

Roasso Kumamoto2-0FC Gifu
FC Gifu0-1Roasso Kumamoto
Roasso Kumamoto2-3FC Gifu
FC Gifu1-0Roasso Kumamoto
FC Gifu0-2Roasso Kumamoto
Roasso Kumamoto1-2FC Gifu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Roasso Kumamoto 1533 · FC Gifu 1501

	Roasso Kumamoto	Draw	FC Gifu
Our model	33%	32%	35%
Market	35%	27%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Roasso Kumamoto	FC Gifu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.6	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.4	3.7 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.30

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:27 +3’	2.55	3.30	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Roasso Kumamoto 3–0–3 FC Gifu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/12/21 Japan J3-League	Roasso Kumamoto	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Gifu
02/05/21 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	0-1 HT 0-0	Roasso Kumamoto
04/10/20 Japan J3-League	Roasso Kumamoto	2-3 HT 1-2	FC Gifu
19/07/20 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	1-0 HT 0-0	Roasso Kumamoto
19/08/18 Japan J2-League	FC Gifu	0-2 HT 0-0	Roasso Kumamoto
03/05/18 Japan J2-League	Roasso Kumamoto	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Gifu

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	12	9	2	1	26	14	29
2	Ehime FC	12	8	2	2	28	15	26
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	12	7	2	3	17	9	23
4	Nara Club	12	7	2	3	22	18	23
5	FC Gifu	12	7	1	4	23	11	22
6	Sagamihara	12	6	3	3	21	14	21
7	FC Osaka	12	5	5	2	21	12	20
8	Roasso Kumamoto	12	5	5	2	13	6	20
9	Parceiro Nagano	12	5	2	5	16	16	17
10	FC Ryukyu	12	5	2	5	13	14	17
11	Zweigen Kanazawa	12	4	2	6	18	18	14
12	Matsumoto Y FC	12	3	5	4	12	13	14
13	Reilac Shiga	12	4	2	6	16	19	14
14	Gainare Tottori	12	4	2	6	13	23	14
15	Tochigi SC	12	3	4	5	12	16	13
16	Giravanz Kitakyushu	12	3	4	5	16	21	13
17	Fukushima Utd	12	3	2	7	22	27	11
18	Thespa Gunma	12	3	1	8	11	22	10
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	12	2	2	8	15	24	8
20	Kochi United	12	1	2	9	5	28	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Roasso Kumamoto	FC Gifu
Gainare Tottori	3-0 W	1-0 W
Kamatamare Sanuki	3-0 W	4-3 W
Fukushima Utd	2-1 W	1-0 W
Nara Club	2-2 D	1-2 L
Parceiro Nagano	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Roasso Kumamoto (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Roasso Kumamoto

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	3-0	2	2	W
18/10	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
11/10	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
02/10	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
26/09	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
18/09	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
12/09	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
06/09	Nara Club Japan J3-League	2-1	2-2	7	3	D
30/08	Kochi United Japan J3-League	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
22/08	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	13	0	L

FC Gifu

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	0-1	2-1	11	3	W
17/10	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
11/10	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
03/10	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
26/09	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	3-2	4-3	4	4	W
20/09	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
12/09	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
05/09	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
29/08	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	3-0	4-1	4	1	W
22/08	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Gifu?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Gifu win (36%). Probabilities: Roasso Kumamoto 34%, draw 29%, FC Gifu 36%.

How many goals are expected in Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Gifu?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Roasso Kumamoto 1.07 · FC Gifu 1.11), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Gifu?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.