Football · Japan J3-League · 04/11, 06:00

Prediction: FC Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto

Team pages: FC Osaka · Roasso Kumamoto

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
FC Osaka1.39
Roasso Kumamoto0.96
1X2
46% 28% 26%
FC Osaka Draw Roasso Kumamoto
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Osaka 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWWWLDLWWL
Roasso Kumamoto 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWDWDLWWWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Osaka 1518 · Roasso Kumamoto 1534
FC OsakaDrawRoasso Kumamoto
Our model46%30%25%
Market47%27%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC OsakaRoasso Kumamoto
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.91.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.20.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.72.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 0.12.2 / 0

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kagoshima United 15942 291831
2 Nara Club 15924 282129
3 FC Gifu 15915 281528
4 Sagamihara 15843 251528
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 15834 201227
6 Ehime FC 15825 302526
7 Roasso Kumamoto 14662 16824
8 FC Osaka 14653 231423
9 FC Ryukyu 15726 232023
10 Parceiro Nagano 15726 222023
11 Zweigen Kanazawa 15627 272120
12 Giravanz Kitakyushu 15546 212319
13 Tochigi SC 15465 141618
14 Matsumoto Y FC 15456 151717
15 Reilac Shiga 15528 192717
16 Fukushima Utd 15438 273215
17 Gainare Tottori 15438 152915
18 Thespa Gunma 154110 122913
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 153210 162711
20 Kochi United 152310 10319

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC OsakaRoasso Kumamoto
FC Gifu 0-1 L 2-1 W
Kagoshima United 2-1 W 1-1 D
Nara Club 2-0 W 2-2 D
Fukushima Utd 4-1 W 2-1 W
Ehime FC 2-1 W 0-2 L
Matsumoto Y FC 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Osaka (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Osaka

DWWWLDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 FC Gifu
Japan J3-League
0-0 0-1 54 L
24/10 Kagoshima United
Japan J3-League
1-1 2-1 64 W
21/10 Nara Club
Japan J3-League
2-0 2-0 12 W
17/10 Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3-League
0-1 1-3 62 L
09/10 Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3-League
0-0 1-1 53 D
03/10 Sagamihara
Japan J3-League
0-0 0-1 72 L
26/09 Kochi United
Japan J3-League
1-0 4-0 32 W
18/09 Fukushima Utd
Japan J3-League
2-0 4-1 51 W
14/09 Ehime FC
Japan J3-League
1-0 2-1 62 W
05/09 Matsumoto Y FC
Japan J3-League
0-0 0-0 31 D

Roasso Kumamoto

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Kagoshima United
Japan J3-League
0-1 1-1 53 D
25/10 FC Gifu
Japan J3-League
0-1 2-1 84 W
21/10 Gainare Tottori
Japan J3-League
0-0 3-0 22 W
18/10 Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3-League
1-0 3-0 91 W
11/10 Ehime FC
Japan J3-League
0-1 0-2 42 L
02/10 Reilac Shiga
Japan J3-League
0-0 0-0 73 D
26/09 Thespa Gunma
Japan J3-League
0-0 1-0 32 W
18/09 Matsumoto Y FC
Japan J3-League
0-0 0-0 31 D
12/09 Fukushima Utd
Japan J3-League
1-1 2-1 41 W
06/09 Nara Club
Japan J3-League
2-1 2-2 73 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Osaka win (46%). Probabilities: FC Osaka 46%, draw 28%, Roasso Kumamoto 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto?

The model expects 2.35 goals (FC Osaka 1.39 · Roasso Kumamoto 0.96), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.