Football · Japan J3-League · 08/11, 06:00
Prediction: Parceiro Nagano vs Kamatamare Sanuki
Team pages: Parceiro Nagano · Kamatamare Sanuki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Parceiro Nagano1.46
Kamatamare Sanuki1.23
1X2
Parceiro Nagano
Draw
Kamatamare Sanuki
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Parceiro Nagano
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Kamatamare Sanuki
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Parceiro Nagano
3–2–1
Kamatamare Sanuki
(6 last)
- Kamatamare Sanuki0-0Parceiro Nagano
- Parceiro Nagano1-0Kamatamare Sanuki
- Kamatamare Sanuki0-1Parceiro Nagano
- Parceiro Nagano0-2Kamatamare Sanuki
- Kamatamare Sanuki1-1Parceiro Nagano
- Kamatamare Sanuki2-3Parceiro Nagano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Parceiro Nagano 1510 · Kamatamare Sanuki 1427
| Parceiro Nagano | Draw | Kamatamare Sanuki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Parceiro Nagano (rating 1510 vs 1427).
- H2H favours Parceiro Nagano: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Parceiro Nagano | Kamatamare Sanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Parceiro Nagano 3–2–1 Kamatamare Sanuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Parceiro Nagano |
| 13/10/25 Japan J3-League | Parceiro Nagano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
| 21/06/25 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Parceiro Nagano |
| 24/11/24 Japan J3-League | Parceiro Nagano | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
| 16/03/24 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Parceiro Nagano |
| 05/11/23 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Parceiro Nagano |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 31 |
| 2 | Nara Club | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 29 |
| 3 | FC Gifu | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Ehime FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 26 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 23 |
| 10 | Parceiro Nagano | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 23 |
| 11 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 20 |
| 12 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 19 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Y FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| 15 | Reilac Shiga | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 17 |
| 16 | Fukushima Utd | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 15 |
| 17 | Gainare Tottori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 15 |
| 18 | Thespa Gunma | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 11 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Parceiro Nagano | Kamatamare Sanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Zweigen Kanazawa | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| FC Ryukyu | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Matsumoto Y FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Nara Club | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| FC Gifu | 1-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Tochigi SC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Parceiro Nagano (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Parceiro Nagano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/10 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 21/10 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/10 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
Kamatamare Sanuki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 31/10 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/10 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 21/10 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/10 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
2-3 | 3-4 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Parceiro Nagano vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Parceiro Nagano win (41%). Probabilities: Parceiro Nagano 41%, draw 28%, Kamatamare Sanuki 31%.
How many goals are expected in Parceiro Nagano vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Parceiro Nagano 1.46 · Kamatamare Sanuki 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Parceiro Nagano vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.