Football · Japan J3-League · 08/11, 06:00
Prediction: Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC
Team pages: Gainare Tottori · Tochigi SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Gainare Tottori1.05
Tochigi SC1.31
1X2
Gainare Tottori
Draw
Tochigi SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Gainare Tottori
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Tochigi SC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gainare Tottori
1–3–2
Tochigi SC
(6 last)
- Tochigi SC2-1Gainare Tottori
- Gainare Tottori2-1Tochigi SC
- Tochigi SC1-1Gainare Tottori
- Gainare Tottori1-1Tochigi SC
- Gainare Tottori0-1Tochigi SC
- Tochigi SC0-0Gainare Tottori
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gainare Tottori 1439 · Tochigi SC 1488
| Gainare Tottori | Draw | Tochigi SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | 31% | 26% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tochigi SC (rating 1439 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Tochigi SC: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gainare Tottori | Tochigi SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 3.4 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gainare Tottori 1–3–2 Tochigi SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/25 Japan J3-League | Tochigi SC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gainare Tottori |
| 21/06/25 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tochigi SC |
| 19/11/17 Japan J3-League | Tochigi SC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Gainare Tottori |
| 19/03/17 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 1-1 | Tochigi SC |
| 05/11/16 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 0-1 | Tochigi SC |
| 13/03/16 Japan J3-League | Tochigi SC | 0-0 | Gainare Tottori |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 31 |
| 2 | Nara Club | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 29 |
| 3 | FC Gifu | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Ehime FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 26 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 23 |
| 10 | Parceiro Nagano | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 23 |
| 11 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 20 |
| 12 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 19 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Y FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| 15 | Reilac Shiga | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 17 |
| 16 | Fukushima Utd | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 15 |
| 17 | Gainare Tottori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 15 |
| 18 | Thespa Gunma | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 11 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 9 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gainare Tottori | Tochigi SC |
|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Ryukyu | 2-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Matsumoto Y FC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tochigi SC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gainare Tottori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 31/10 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/10 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
Tochigi SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 31/10 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 21/10 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tochigi SC win (42%). Probabilities: Gainare Tottori 30%, draw 28%, Tochigi SC 42%.
How many goals are expected in Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Gainare Tottori 1.05 · Tochigi SC 1.31), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.