Football · Japan J3-League · 07/11, 06:30
Prediction: Matsumoto Y FC vs Zweigen Kanazawa
Team pages: Matsumoto Y FC · Zweigen Kanazawa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Matsumoto Y FC1.3
Zweigen Kanazawa1.2
1X2
Matsumoto Y FC
Draw
Zweigen Kanazawa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Matsumoto Y FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Zweigen Kanazawa
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Matsumoto Y FC
1–3–2
Zweigen Kanazawa
(6 last)
- Zweigen Kanazawa1-0Matsumoto Y FC
- Matsumoto Y FC2-1Zweigen Kanazawa
- Matsumoto Y FC1-1Zweigen Kanazawa
- Zweigen Kanazawa6-1Matsumoto Y FC
- Zweigen Kanazawa1-1Matsumoto Y FC
- Matsumoto Y FC0-0Zweigen Kanazawa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matsumoto Y FC 1486 · Zweigen Kanazawa 1490
| Matsumoto Y FC | Draw | Zweigen Kanazawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 39% | 27% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Zweigen Kanazawa: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Matsumoto Y FC | Zweigen Kanazawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.9 | 2.4 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matsumoto Y FC 1–3–2 Zweigen Kanazawa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/25 Japan J3-League | Zweigen Kanazawa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Matsumoto Y FC |
| 03/05/25 Japan J3-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Zweigen Kanazawa |
| 13/10/24 Japan J3-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Zweigen Kanazawa |
| 06/04/24 Japan J3-League | Zweigen Kanazawa | 6-1 HT 4-1 | Matsumoto Y FC |
| 19/09/21 Japan J2-League | Zweigen Kanazawa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Matsumoto Y FC |
| 15/05/21 Japan J2-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Zweigen Kanazawa |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 31 |
| 2 | Nara Club | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 29 |
| 3 | FC Gifu | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Ehime FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 26 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 23 |
| 10 | Parceiro Nagano | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 23 |
| 11 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 20 |
| 12 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 19 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Y FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| 15 | Reilac Shiga | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 17 |
| 16 | Fukushima Utd | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 15 |
| 17 | Gainare Tottori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 15 |
| 18 | Thespa Gunma | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 11 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Matsumoto Y FC | Zweigen Kanazawa |
|---|---|---|
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Thespa Gunma | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Parceiro Nagano | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Gainare Tottori | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Zweigen Kanazawa (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matsumoto Y FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 31/10 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 21/10 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/10 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
Zweigen Kanazawa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/10 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/10 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matsumoto Y FC vs Zweigen Kanazawa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Matsumoto Y FC win (38%). Probabilities: Matsumoto Y FC 38%, draw 28%, Zweigen Kanazawa 34%.
How many goals are expected in Matsumoto Y FC vs Zweigen Kanazawa?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Matsumoto Y FC 1.3 · Zweigen Kanazawa 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Matsumoto Y FC vs Zweigen Kanazawa?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.