Football · Japan J3-League · 15/11, 06:00

Prediction: Zweigen Kanazawa vs Roasso Kumamoto

Team pages: Zweigen Kanazawa · Roasso Kumamoto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Zweigen Kanazawa1.34

Roasso Kumamoto1.17

1X2

40% 28% 32%

Zweigen Kanazawa Draw Roasso Kumamoto

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Zweigen Kanazawa 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDLLWWLW

Roasso Kumamoto 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLWWWDLL

Head-to-head

Zweigen Kanazawa 1–3–2 Roasso Kumamoto (6 last)

Zweigen Kanazawa1-1Roasso Kumamoto
Roasso Kumamoto3-1Zweigen Kanazawa
Roasso Kumamoto3-0Zweigen Kanazawa
Zweigen Kanazawa2-2Roasso Kumamoto
Roasso Kumamoto0-1Zweigen Kanazawa
Zweigen Kanazawa0-0Roasso Kumamoto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zweigen Kanazawa 1505 · Roasso Kumamoto 1498

	Zweigen Kanazawa	Draw	Roasso Kumamoto
Our model	39%	29%	31%
Market	41%	27%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Roasso Kumamoto: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zweigen Kanazawa	Roasso Kumamoto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.4	2.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.30

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:01 +14’	2.20	3.30	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zweigen Kanazawa 1–3–2 Roasso Kumamoto

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/08/23 Japan J2-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	1-1 HT 1-1	Roasso Kumamoto
09/04/23 Japan J2-League	Roasso Kumamoto	3-1 HT 1-1	Zweigen Kanazawa
24/07/22 Japan J2-League	Roasso Kumamoto	3-0 HT 1-0	Zweigen Kanazawa
30/03/22 Japan J2-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	2-2 HT 1-1	Roasso Kumamoto
05/08/18 Japan J2-League	Roasso Kumamoto	0-1 HT 0-1	Zweigen Kanazawa
23/06/18 Japan J2-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	0-0 HT 0-0	Roasso Kumamoto

Standings · Japan J3-League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nara Club	16	10	2	4	33	21	32
2	FC Gifu	16	10	1	5	29	15	31
3	Sagamihara	16	9	4	3	26	15	31
4	Kagoshima United	16	9	4	3	29	19	31
5	Renofa Yamaguchi	16	9	3	4	22	13	30
6	FC Osaka	16	8	5	3	27	16	29
7	Ehime FC	16	9	2	5	31	25	29
8	Roasso Kumamoto	16	6	6	4	18	12	24
9	Zweigen Kanazawa	16	7	2	7	28	21	23
10	Parceiro Nagano	16	7	2	7	22	21	23
11	FC Ryukyu	16	7	2	7	24	24	23
12	Tochigi SC	16	5	6	5	15	16	21
13	Giravanz Kitakyushu	16	5	4	7	21	24	19
14	Fukushima Utd	16	5	3	8	31	33	18
15	Matsumoto Y FC	16	4	5	7	15	18	17
16	Reilac Shiga	16	5	2	9	19	28	17
17	Gainare Tottori	16	4	3	9	15	30	15
18	Kamatamare Sanuki	16	4	2	10	17	27	14
19	Thespa Gunma	16	4	1	11	13	31	13
20	Kochi United	16	2	3	11	10	36	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zweigen Kanazawa	Roasso Kumamoto
Matsumoto Y FC	1-0 W	0-0 D
Thespa Gunma	4-0 W	1-0 W
Reilac Shiga	5-1 W	0-0 D
Kamatamare Sanuki	1-3 L	3-0 W
FC Osaka	1-1 D	1-2 L
Gainare Tottori	4-1 W	3-0 W
Renofa Yamaguchi	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Zweigen Kanazawa (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zweigen Kanazawa

LWWDLLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
03/11	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
31/10	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	2-0	4-0	2	3	W
25/10	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	3-0	5-1	5	4	W
21/10	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-2	1-3	3	2	L
17/10	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
09/10	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
03/10	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
26/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	1-0	4-1	5	3	W
20/09	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	5	7	L

Roasso Kumamoto

DWDLWWWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
04/11	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-0	1-2	7	0	L
31/10	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
25/10	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
21/10	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	3-0	2	2	W
18/10	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
11/10	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
02/10	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
26/09	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
18/09	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	3	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zweigen Kanazawa vs Roasso Kumamoto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zweigen Kanazawa win (40%). Probabilities: Zweigen Kanazawa 40%, draw 28%, Roasso Kumamoto 32%.

How many goals are expected in Zweigen Kanazawa vs Roasso Kumamoto?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Zweigen Kanazawa 1.34 · Roasso Kumamoto 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Zweigen Kanazawa vs Roasso Kumamoto?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.