Football · Japan J3-League · 15/11, 06:00

Prediction: Tochigi SC vs Nara Club

Team pages: Tochigi SC · Nara Club

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

Tochigi SC1.21

Nara Club1.1

1X2

39% 28% 33%

Tochigi SC Draw Nara Club

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Tochigi SC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Nara Club 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tochigi SC 0–2–0 Nara Club (2 last)

Tochigi SC1-1Nara Club
Nara Club0-0Tochigi SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tochigi SC 1495 · Nara Club 1572

	Tochigi SC	Draw	Nara Club
Our model	37%	31%	32%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nara Club (rating 1495 vs 1572).
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tochigi SC	Nara Club
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.7	2.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.3	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.5	2.9 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +3’	2.25	3.40	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tochigi SC 0–2–0 Nara Club

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/25 Japan J3-League	Tochigi SC	1-1 HT 1-0	Nara Club
17/05/25 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	0-0 HT 0-0	Tochigi SC

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nara Club	16	10	2	4	33	21	32
2	FC Gifu	16	10	1	5	29	15	31
3	Sagamihara	16	9	4	3	26	15	31
4	Kagoshima United	16	9	4	3	29	19	31
5	Renofa Yamaguchi	16	9	3	4	22	13	30
6	FC Osaka	16	8	5	3	27	16	29
7	Ehime FC	16	9	2	5	31	25	29
8	Roasso Kumamoto	16	6	6	4	18	12	24
9	Zweigen Kanazawa	16	7	2	7	28	21	23
10	Parceiro Nagano	16	7	2	7	22	21	23
11	FC Ryukyu	16	7	2	7	24	24	23
12	Tochigi SC	16	5	6	5	15	16	21
13	Giravanz Kitakyushu	16	5	4	7	21	24	19
14	Fukushima Utd	16	5	3	8	31	33	18
15	Matsumoto Y FC	16	4	5	7	15	18	17
16	Reilac Shiga	16	5	2	9	19	28	17
17	Gainare Tottori	16	4	3	9	15	30	15
18	Kamatamare Sanuki	16	4	2	10	17	27	14
19	Thespa Gunma	16	4	1	11	13	31	13
20	Kochi United	16	2	3	11	10	36	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tochigi SC	Nara Club
Gainare Tottori	1-0 W	3-2 W
Reilac Shiga	1-0 W	4-1 W
FC Ryukyu	0-1 L	1-3 L
Kamatamare Sanuki	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nara Club (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tochigi SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
03/11	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
31/10	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-0	2-0	13	1	W
24/10	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
21/10	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
17/10	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
11/10	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
04/10	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
26/09	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
19/09	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-2	1-3	5	4	L

Nara Club

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Kochi United Japan J3-League	2-0	5-0	7	0	W
03/11	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	2-0	3-0	9	1	W
31/10	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
24/10	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	1-2	1-3	9	3	L
21/10	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	7	2	L
17/10	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
10/10	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
03/10	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
26/09	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	2-0	4-1	5	2	W
19/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	2-0	3-2	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tochigi SC vs Nara Club?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tochigi SC win (39%). Probabilities: Tochigi SC 39%, draw 28%, Nara Club 33%.

How many goals are expected in Tochigi SC vs Nara Club?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Tochigi SC 1.21 · Nara Club 1.1), with a 59% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tochigi SC vs Nara Club?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.