Football · Japan J3-League · 15/11, 06:00

Prediction: Parceiro Nagano vs Ehime FC

Team pages: Parceiro Nagano · Ehime FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Parceiro Nagano1.22

Ehime FC1.75

1X2

26% 26% 49%

Parceiro Nagano Draw Ehime FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Parceiro Nagano 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLLWWL

Ehime FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLLLW

Head-to-head

Parceiro Nagano 0–4–0 Ehime FC (4 last)

Parceiro Nagano1-1Ehime FC
Ehime FC1-1Parceiro Nagano
Ehime FC2-2Parceiro Nagano
Parceiro Nagano1-1Ehime FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Parceiro Nagano 1494 · Ehime FC 1479

	Parceiro Nagano	Draw	Ehime FC
Our model	26%	26%	49%
Market	26%	26%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Parceiro Nagano	Ehime FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	2.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	1.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.50

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:41 +32’	3.50	3.50	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Parceiro Nagano 0–4–0 Ehime FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/09/23 Japan J3-League	Parceiro Nagano	1-1 HT 1-1	Ehime FC
12/03/23 Japan J3-League	Ehime FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Parceiro Nagano
08/10/22 Japan J3-League	Ehime FC	2-2 HT 1-0	Parceiro Nagano
12/06/22 Japan J3-League	Parceiro Nagano	1-1 HT 1-0	Ehime FC

Standings · Japan J3-League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nara Club	16	10	2	4	33	21	32
2	FC Gifu	16	10	1	5	29	15	31
3	Sagamihara	16	9	4	3	26	15	31
4	Kagoshima United	16	9	4	3	29	19	31
5	Renofa Yamaguchi	16	9	3	4	22	13	30
6	FC Osaka	16	8	5	3	27	16	29
7	Ehime FC	16	9	2	5	31	25	29
8	Roasso Kumamoto	16	6	6	4	18	12	24
9	Zweigen Kanazawa	16	7	2	7	28	21	23
10	Parceiro Nagano	16	7	2	7	22	21	23
11	FC Ryukyu	16	7	2	7	24	24	23
12	Tochigi SC	16	5	6	5	15	16	21
13	Giravanz Kitakyushu	16	5	4	7	21	24	19
14	Fukushima Utd	16	5	3	8	31	33	18
15	Matsumoto Y FC	16	4	5	7	15	18	17
16	Reilac Shiga	16	5	2	9	19	28	17
17	Gainare Tottori	16	4	3	9	15	30	15
18	Kamatamare Sanuki	16	4	2	10	17	27	14
19	Thespa Gunma	16	4	1	11	13	31	13
20	Kochi United	16	2	3	11	10	36	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Parceiro Nagano	Ehime FC
Kamatamare Sanuki	0-1 L	2-1 W
Reilac Shiga	3-1 W	1-0 W
FC Ryukyu	0-1 L	1-1 D
Kochi United	3-1 W	0-4 L
Fukushima Utd	3-4 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Parceiro Nagano (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Parceiro Nagano

WLLWWLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	13	3	L
03/11	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
31/10	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	1-0	3-1	0	3	W
25/10	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-1	1-3	4	2	L
21/10	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
18/10	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	2-1	2-1	3	4	W
10/10	Kochi United Japan J3-League	0-0	3-1	4	1	W
03/10	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
26/09	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	1-1	3-4	5	1	L
20/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W

Ehime FC

WDWWLWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	9	1	W
03/11	Kochi United Japan J3-League	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
31/10	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
25/10	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	1-2	2-4	6	1	L
21/10	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	2-0	2-1	7	5	W
17/10	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-2	2-4	4	0	L
11/10	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
03/10	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-1	3-1	9	1	W
26/09	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
19/09	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Parceiro Nagano vs Ehime FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ehime FC win (49%). Probabilities: Parceiro Nagano 26%, draw 26%, Ehime FC 49%.

How many goals are expected in Parceiro Nagano vs Ehime FC?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Parceiro Nagano 1.22 · Ehime FC 1.75), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Parceiro Nagano vs Ehime FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.