Football · Japan J3-League · 07/11, 06:00

Prediction: FC Gifu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu

Team pages: FC Gifu · Giravanz Kitakyushu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

FC Gifu1.85

Giravanz Kitakyushu1.07

1X2

55% 24% 21%

FC Gifu Draw Giravanz Kitakyushu

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Gifu 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Giravanz Kitakyushu 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWLWWL

Head-to-head

FC Gifu 2–1–3 Giravanz Kitakyushu (6 last)

Giravanz Kitakyushu0-1FC Gifu
FC Gifu2-1Giravanz Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu2-0FC Gifu
FC Gifu0-1Giravanz Kitakyushu
FC Gifu0-1Giravanz Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu1-1FC Gifu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gifu 1521 · Giravanz Kitakyushu 1499

	FC Gifu	Draw	Giravanz Kitakyushu
Our model	55%	25%	21%
Market	55%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Giravanz Kitakyushu: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Gifu	Giravanz Kitakyushu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.5	2.7 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.75

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:05 +11’	1.61	3.75	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gifu 2–1–3 Giravanz Kitakyushu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/25 Japan J3-League	Giravanz Kitakyushu	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Gifu
01/03/25 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	2-1 HT 0-1	Giravanz Kitakyushu
21/09/24 Japan J3-League	Giravanz Kitakyushu	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Gifu
06/05/24 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	0-1 HT 0-1	Giravanz Kitakyushu
02/12/23 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	0-1 HT 0-0	Giravanz Kitakyushu
05/03/23 Japan J3-League	Giravanz Kitakyushu	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Gifu

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	15	9	4	2	29	18	31
2	Nara Club	15	9	2	4	28	21	29
3	FC Gifu	15	9	1	5	28	15	28
4	Sagamihara	15	8	4	3	25	15	28
5	Renofa Yamaguchi	15	8	3	4	20	12	27
6	FC Osaka	15	7	5	3	25	15	26
7	Ehime FC	15	8	2	5	30	25	26
8	Roasso Kumamoto	15	6	6	3	17	10	24
9	FC Ryukyu	15	7	2	6	23	20	23
10	Parceiro Nagano	15	7	2	6	22	20	23
11	Zweigen Kanazawa	15	6	2	7	27	21	20
12	Giravanz Kitakyushu	15	5	4	6	21	23	19
13	Tochigi SC	15	4	6	5	14	16	18
14	Matsumoto Y FC	15	4	5	6	15	17	17
15	Reilac Shiga	15	5	2	8	19	27	17
16	Fukushima Utd	15	4	3	8	27	32	15
17	Gainare Tottori	15	4	3	8	15	29	15
18	Thespa Gunma	15	4	1	10	12	29	13
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	15	3	2	10	16	27	11
20	Kochi United	15	2	3	10	10	31	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Gifu	Giravanz Kitakyushu
FC Osaka	1-0 W	3-1 W
Sagamihara	2-1 W	2-1 W
Fukushima Utd	1-0 W	1-2 L
Gainare Tottori	1-0 W	2-4 L
Renofa Yamaguchi	0-2 L	2-0 W
Parceiro Nagano	0-1 L	3-1 W
Nara Club	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gifu

LLWLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	1-2	3-2	4	3	W
31/10	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
25/10	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	1-0	1-2	6	4	L
21/10	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	0-1	2-1	11	3	W
17/10	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
11/10	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
03/10	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
26/09	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	3-2	4-3	4	4	W
20/09	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
12/09	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	8	2	L

Giravanz Kitakyushu

LWDWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	11	4	L
31/10	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
25/10	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	1-0	3-1	11	2	W
21/10	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	0-0	1-2	0	3	L
17/10	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	1-0	3-1	3	2	W
10/10	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
03/10	Kochi United Japan J3-League	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
26/09	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
20/09	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
12/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	1-2	2-4	11	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gifu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Gifu win (55%). Probabilities: FC Gifu 55%, draw 24%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gifu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

The model expects 2.91 goals (FC Gifu 1.85 · Giravanz Kitakyushu 1.07), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gifu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.