Football · Japan J3-League · 07/11, 06:00

Prediction: Nara Club vs Kochi United

Team pages: Nara Club · Kochi United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Nara Club1.6

Kochi United1.14

1X2

47% 26% 26%

Nara Club Draw Kochi United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Nara Club 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLLWW

Kochi United 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLDLW

Head-to-head

Nara Club 2–1–2 Kochi United (5 last)

Nara Club0-0Kochi United
Kochi United2-0Nara Club
Nara Club3-0Kochi United
Kochi United3-2Nara Club
Nara Club2-0Kochi United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nara Club 1555 · Kochi United 1436

	Nara Club	Draw	Kochi United
Our model	47%	27%	26%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nara Club (rating 1555 vs 1436).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nara Club	Kochi United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.2	2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0.1	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.50

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +4’	1.85	3.50	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nara Club 2–1–2 Kochi United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Nara Club	0-0 HT 0-0	Kochi United
01/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Kochi United	2-0 HT 0-0	Nara Club
23/08/25 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	3-0 HT 2-0	Kochi United
08/06/25 Japan J3-League	Kochi United	3-2 HT 1-1	Nara Club
31/07/22 Japan Football League	Nara Club	2-0 HT 0-0	Kochi United

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	15	9	4	2	29	18	31
2	Nara Club	15	9	2	4	28	21	29
3	FC Gifu	15	9	1	5	28	15	28
4	Sagamihara	15	8	4	3	25	15	28
5	Renofa Yamaguchi	15	8	3	4	20	12	27
6	FC Osaka	15	7	5	3	25	15	26
7	Ehime FC	15	8	2	5	30	25	26
8	Roasso Kumamoto	15	6	6	3	17	10	24
9	FC Ryukyu	15	7	2	6	23	20	23
10	Parceiro Nagano	15	7	2	6	22	20	23
11	Zweigen Kanazawa	15	6	2	7	27	21	20
12	Giravanz Kitakyushu	15	5	4	6	21	23	19
13	Tochigi SC	15	4	6	5	14	16	18
14	Matsumoto Y FC	15	4	5	6	15	17	17
15	Reilac Shiga	15	5	2	8	19	27	17
16	Fukushima Utd	15	4	3	8	27	32	15
17	Gainare Tottori	15	4	3	8	15	29	15
18	Thespa Gunma	15	4	1	10	12	29	13
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	15	3	2	10	16	27	11
20	Kochi United	15	2	3	10	10	31	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nara Club	Kochi United
Thespa Gunma	3-0 W	0-1 L
FC Osaka	0-2 L	0-4 L
Zweigen Kanazawa	1-0 W	1-1 D
Giravanz Kitakyushu	2-0 W	0-2 L
Parceiro Nagano	1-0 W	1-3 L
Gainare Tottori	3-2 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Nara Club (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nara Club

WWWWWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	2-0	3-0	9	1	W
31/10	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
24/10	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	1-2	1-3	9	3	L
21/10	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	7	2	L
17/10	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
10/10	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
03/10	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
26/09	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	2-0	4-1	5	2	W
19/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	2-0	3-2	7	2	W
12/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	8	2	W

Kochi United

DLLLLLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	1-0	4-0	5	1	W
31/10	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	1-3	1-3	2	4	L
25/10	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
21/10	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
18/10	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
10/10	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	1-3	3	1	L
03/10	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
26/09	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-1	0-4	2	2	L
19/09	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
13/09	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nara Club vs Kochi United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nara Club win (47%). Probabilities: Nara Club 47%, draw 26%, Kochi United 26%.

How many goals are expected in Nara Club vs Kochi United?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Nara Club 1.6 · Kochi United 1.14), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nara Club vs Kochi United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.