Football · Japan J2-League · 17/10, 07:00
Prediction: Vegalta Sendai vs Tokushima Vortis
Team pages: Vegalta Sendai · Tokushima Vortis
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Vegalta Sendai1.8
Tokushima Vortis0.86
1X2
Vegalta Sendai
Draw
Tokushima Vortis
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Vegalta Sendai
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Tokushima Vortis
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vegalta Sendai
0–2–4
Tokushima Vortis
(6 last)
- Vegalta Sendai0-2Tokushima Vortis
- Tokushima Vortis1-0Vegalta Sendai
- Tokushima Vortis2-0Vegalta Sendai
- Tokushima Vortis1-0Vegalta Sendai
- Vegalta Sendai0-0Tokushima Vortis
- Vegalta Sendai1-1Tokushima Vortis
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vegalta Sendai (rating 1566 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Tokushima Vortis: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vegalta Sendai | Tokushima Vortis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vegalta Sendai 0–2–4 Tokushima Vortis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/25 Japan J2-League | Vegalta Sendai | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Tokushima Vortis |
| 23/02/25 Japan J2-League | Tokushima Vortis | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 14/07/24 Japan J2-League | Tokushima Vortis | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 12/06/24 Japan FA Cup | Tokushima Vortis | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 24/03/24 Japan J2-League | Vegalta Sendai | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tokushima Vortis |
| 25/06/23 Japan J2-League | Vegalta Sendai | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tokushima Vortis |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Kataller Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Oita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz Akita | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| 10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Tokushima Vortis | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 14 | Iwaki FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 10 |
| 17 | FC Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 10 |
| 18 | Ventforet Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 10 |
| 19 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 10 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vegalta Sendai | Tokushima Vortis |
|---|---|---|
| Jubilo Iwata | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Iwaki FC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Tochigi City | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Oita | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Vegalta Sendai (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vegalta Sendai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 8 | W |
| 26/09 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Tokushima Vortis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vegalta Sendai vs Tokushima Vortis?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vegalta Sendai win (58%). Probabilities: Vegalta Sendai 58%, draw 25%, Tokushima Vortis 17%.
How many goals are expected in Vegalta Sendai vs Tokushima Vortis?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Vegalta Sendai 1.8 · Tokushima Vortis 0.86), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Vegalta Sendai vs Tokushima Vortis?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.