Football · Japan J2-League · 25/10, 06:00

Prediction: Sagan Tosu vs Vanraure Hachinohe

Team pages: Sagan Tosu · Vanraure Hachinohe

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Sagan Tosu1.61
Vanraure Hachinohe0.75
1X2
57% 26% 17%
Sagan Tosu Draw Vanraure Hachinohe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sagan Tosu 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LDWLLLLWWL
Vanraure Hachinohe 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWDLLWLLDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sagan Tosu 1464 · Vanraure Hachinohe 1458
Sagan TosuDrawVanraure Hachinohe
Our model57%27%16%
Market57%26%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sagan TosuVanraure Hachinohe
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.50.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 7.21.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 01.9 / 0

Standings · Japan J2-League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vegalta Sendai 12831 21927
2 Albirex Niigata 12723 172023
3 Kataller Toyama 12642 231122
4 Yokohama FC 12633 231421
5 Omiya Ardija 12552 211420
6 Shonan Bellmare 12471 131119
7 Oita 12462 16918
8 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 12453 171617
9 Iwaki FC 12516 191816
10 Fujieda MYFC 12363 151315
11 Jubilo Iwata 12435 131415
12 Sagan Tosu 12426 121514
13 Tokushima Vortis 12426 101314
14 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 12426 151914
15 Vanraure Hachinohe 12426 102014
16 Montedio Yamagata 12417 111113
17 Blaublitz Akita 12345 131413
18 Tochigi City 12336 192012
19 FC Imabari 12327 152511
20 Ventforet Kofu 12318 92610

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSagan TosuVanraure Hachinohe
Omiya Ardija 2-1 W 1-3 L
Fujieda MYFC 1-0 W 0-0 D
Blaublitz Akita 0-1 L 1-0 W
FC Imabari 0-1 L 3-3 D
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-0 W 0-3 L
Yokohama FC 2-2 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sagan Tosu (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sagan Tosu

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/10 Albirex Niigata
Japan J2-League
0-1 1-2 62 L
17/10 Omiya Ardija
Japan J2-League
1-0 2-1 82 W
10/10 Fujieda MYFC
Japan J2-League
0-0 1-0 110 W
04/10 Blaublitz Akita
Japan J2-League
0-0 0-1 103 L
26/09 Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2-League
0-2 0-2 51 L
19/09 Iwaki FC
Japan J2-League
0-0 1-3 64 L
12/09 FC Imabari
Japan J2-League
0-0 0-1 43 L
05/09 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2-League
0-0 2-0 62 W
29/08 Yokohama FC
Japan J2-League
1-1 2-2 62 D
22/08 Tochigi City
Japan J2-League
1-0 1-3 100 L

Vanraure Hachinohe

LWDLLWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/10 Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2-League
0-0 1-0 40 W
17/10 FC Imabari
Japan J2-League
1-1 3-3 44 D
10/10 Omiya Ardija
Japan J2-League
0-1 1-3 71 L
04/10 Yokohama FC
Japan J2-League
0-2 0-2 53 L
26/09 Jubilo Iwata
Japan J2-League
1-0 2-1 22 W
18/09 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2-League
0-1 0-3 31 L
12/09 Shonan Bellmare
Japan J2-League
0-0 0-1 32 L
05/09 Fujieda MYFC
Japan J2-League
0-0 0-0 32 D
29/08 Blaublitz Akita
Japan J2-League
0-0 1-0 32 W
22/08 Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2-League
0-1 0-2 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sagan Tosu vs Vanraure Hachinohe?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sagan Tosu win (57%). Probabilities: Sagan Tosu 57%, draw 26%, Vanraure Hachinohe 17%.

How many goals are expected in Sagan Tosu vs Vanraure Hachinohe?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Sagan Tosu 1.61 · Vanraure Hachinohe 0.75), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sagan Tosu vs Vanraure Hachinohe?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.