Football · Japan J2-League · 25/10, 07:00
Prediction: Iwaki FC vs Jubilo Iwata
Team pages: Iwaki FC · Jubilo Iwata
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Iwaki FC1.28
Jubilo Iwata1.24
1X2
Iwaki FC
Draw
Jubilo Iwata
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Iwaki FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Jubilo Iwata
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Iwaki FC
2–2–2
Jubilo Iwata
(6 last)
- Jubilo Iwata1-1Iwaki FC
- Iwaki FC1-0Jubilo Iwata
- Iwaki FC3-1Jubilo Iwata
- Jubilo Iwata2-0Iwaki FC
- Iwaki FC0-1Jubilo Iwata
- Jubilo Iwata1-1Iwaki FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iwaki FC 1482 · Jubilo Iwata 1484
| Iwaki FC | Draw | Jubilo Iwata | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Iwaki FC | Jubilo Iwata | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.5 | 3.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Iwaki FC 2–2–2 Jubilo Iwata
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Jubilo Iwata | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Iwaki FC |
| 29/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Iwaki FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Jubilo Iwata |
| 10/08/25 Japan J2-League | Iwaki FC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Jubilo Iwata |
| 17/05/25 Japan J2-League | Jubilo Iwata | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Iwaki FC |
| 29/07/23 Japan J2-League | Iwaki FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Jubilo Iwata |
| 21/05/23 Japan J2-League | Jubilo Iwata | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Iwaki FC |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 21 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 20 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 19 |
| 7 | Oita | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Iwaki FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 10 | Fujieda MYFC | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 12 | Sagan Tosu | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Tokushima Vortis | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 14 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 14 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 17 | Blaublitz Akita | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 11 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Iwaki FC | Jubilo Iwata |
|---|---|---|
| Ventforet Kofu | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Vegalta Sendai | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Tokushima Vortis | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Albirex Niigata | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Oita | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Jubilo Iwata (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iwaki FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 11/10 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 26/09 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Oita Japan J2-League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
Jubilo Iwata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 29/08 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iwaki FC vs Jubilo Iwata?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Iwaki FC win (37%). Probabilities: Iwaki FC 37%, draw 28%, Jubilo Iwata 35%.
How many goals are expected in Iwaki FC vs Jubilo Iwata?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Iwaki FC 1.28 · Jubilo Iwata 1.24), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Iwaki FC vs Jubilo Iwata?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.