Football · Japan J2-League · 25/10, 06:00
Prediction: Kataller Toyama vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Team pages: Kataller Toyama · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Kataller Toyama1.92
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1.14
1X2
Kataller Toyama
Draw
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Kataller Toyama
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kataller Toyama
0–1–3
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
(4 last)
- Kataller Toyama0-2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
- Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo2-1Kataller Toyama
- Kataller Toyama1-2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
- Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1-1Kataller Toyama
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kataller Toyama 1551 · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1481
| Kataller Toyama | Draw | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 55% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kataller Toyama (rating 1551 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo: 3-1-0.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kataller Toyama | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.3 | 2.3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kataller Toyama 0–1–3 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 Japan J2-League | Kataller Toyama | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
| 17/05/25 Japan J2-League | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Kataller Toyama |
| 09/06/24 Japan J-League Cup | Kataller Toyama | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
| 05/06/24 Japan J-League Cup | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Kataller Toyama |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 21 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 20 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 19 |
| 7 | Oita | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Iwaki FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 10 | Fujieda MYFC | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 12 | Sagan Tosu | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Tokushima Vortis | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 14 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 14 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 17 | Blaublitz Akita | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 11 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kataller Toyama | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
|---|---|---|
| Omiya Ardija | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Ventforet Kofu | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Montedio Yamagata | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Tochigi City | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Jubilo Iwata | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Kataller Toyama (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kataller Toyama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 15 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 26/09 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kataller Toyama vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kataller Toyama win (55%). Probabilities: Kataller Toyama 55%, draw 24%, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 21%.
How many goals are expected in Kataller Toyama vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Kataller Toyama 1.92 · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1.14), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Kataller Toyama vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.