Football · Japan J2-League · 25/10, 06:00
Prediction: Oita vs Ventforet Kofu
Team pages: Oita · Ventforet Kofu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Oita1.64
Ventforet Kofu1.03
1X2
Oita
Draw
Ventforet Kofu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Oita
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Ventforet Kofu
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oita
3–1–2
Ventforet Kofu
(6 last)
- Ventforet Kofu2-0Oita
- Oita2-1Ventforet Kofu
- Oita0-0Ventforet Kofu
- Ventforet Kofu1-2Oita
- Ventforet Kofu3-2Oita
- Oita2-1Ventforet Kofu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oita 1535 · Ventforet Kofu 1417
| Oita | Draw | Ventforet Kofu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 29% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oita (rating 1535 vs 1417).
- H2H favours Oita: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oita | Ventforet Kofu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oita 3–1–2 Ventforet Kofu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/25 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Oita |
| 31/05/25 Japan J2-League | Oita | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 29/06/24 Japan J2-League | Oita | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 03/05/24 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Oita |
| 09/09/23 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Oita |
| 04/06/23 Japan J2-League | Oita | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Ventforet Kofu |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 21 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 20 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 19 |
| 7 | Oita | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Iwaki FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 10 | Fujieda MYFC | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 12 | Sagan Tosu | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Tokushima Vortis | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 14 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 14 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 17 | Blaublitz Akita | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 11 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oita | Ventforet Kofu |
|---|---|---|
| Jubilo Iwata | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Yokohama FC | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Montedio Yamagata | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Omiya Ardija | 0-0 D | 1-5 L |
| Tokushima Vortis | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Iwaki FC | 4-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Oita (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 10/10 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 19/09 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Ventforet Kofu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/10 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oita vs Ventforet Kofu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oita win (50%). Probabilities: Oita 50%, draw 28%, Ventforet Kofu 22%.
How many goals are expected in Oita vs Ventforet Kofu?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Oita 1.64 · Ventforet Kofu 1.03), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Oita vs Ventforet Kofu?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.