Football · Japan J2-League · 17/10, 07:00
Prediction: Tochigi City vs Yokohama FC
Team pages: Tochigi City · Yokohama FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Tochigi City1.51
Yokohama FC1.9
1X2
Tochigi City
Draw
Yokohama FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Tochigi City
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Yokohama FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tochigi City
0–1–1
Yokohama FC
(2 last)
- Tochigi City2-2Yokohama FC
- Yokohama FC5-1Tochigi City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tochigi City 1453 · Yokohama FC 1559
| Tochigi City | Draw | Yokohama FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 24% | 46% |
| Market | 29% | 26% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yokohama FC (rating 1453 vs 1559).
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tochigi City | Yokohama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 2.5 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.4 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tochigi City 0–1–1 Yokohama FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Tochigi City | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Yokohama FC |
| 22/02/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Yokohama FC | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Tochigi City |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 20 |
| 4 | Kataller Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Oita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz Akita | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| 10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Tokushima Vortis | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 14 | Iwaki FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 10 |
| 17 | FC Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 10 |
| 18 | Ventforet Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 10 |
| 19 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 10 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tochigi City | Yokohama FC |
|---|---|---|
| FC Imabari | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Kataller Toyama | 0-0 D | 3-3 D |
| Jubilo Iwata | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Sagan Tosu | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Vanraure Hachinohe | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Montedio Yamagata | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tochigi City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/10 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Yokohama FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tochigi City vs Yokohama FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Yokohama FC win (45%). Probabilities: Tochigi City 29%, draw 25%, Yokohama FC 45%.
How many goals are expected in Tochigi City vs Yokohama FC?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Tochigi City 1.51 · Yokohama FC 1.9), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Tochigi City vs Yokohama FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.