Football · Japan J2-League · 17/10, 07:00
Prediction: Oita vs Albirex Niigata
Team pages: Oita · Albirex Niigata
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Oita1.18
Albirex Niigata0.94
1X2
Oita
Draw
Albirex Niigata
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Oita
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Albirex Niigata
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oita
3–1
Albirex Niigata
(4 last)
- Albirex Niigata0-1Oita
- Oita1-2Albirex Niigata
- Oita4-0Albirex Niigata
- Albirex Niigata1-2Oita
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Oita: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oita | Albirex Niigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 1.6 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oita 3–0–1 Albirex Niigata
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/22 Japan J2-League | Albirex Niigata | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Oita |
| 11/06/22 Japan J2-League | Oita | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Albirex Niigata |
| 05/08/18 Japan J2-League | Oita | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Albirex Niigata |
| 06/05/18 Japan J2-League | Albirex Niigata | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Oita |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Kataller Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Oita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz Akita | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| 10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Tokushima Vortis | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 14 | Iwaki FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 10 |
| 17 | FC Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 10 |
| 18 | Ventforet Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 10 |
| 19 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 10 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oita | Albirex Niigata |
|---|---|---|
| Yokohama FC | 2-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Montedio Yamagata | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Fujieda MYFC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Omiya Ardija | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Tokushima Vortis | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Iwaki FC | 4-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Shonan Bellmare | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Albirex Niigata (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 19/09 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Albirex Niigata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oita vs Albirex Niigata?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oita win (40%). Probabilities: Oita 40%, draw 32%, Albirex Niigata 28%.
How many goals are expected in Oita vs Albirex Niigata?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Oita 1.18 · Albirex Niigata 0.94), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Oita vs Albirex Niigata?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.