Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 20/09, 23:00
Prediction: Minnesota United FC II vs Los Angeles FC II
Team pages: Minnesota United FC II · Los Angeles FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Minnesota United FC II1.79
Los Angeles FC II1.26
1X2
Minnesota United FC II
Draw
Los Angeles FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Minnesota United FC II
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Los Angeles FC II
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Minnesota United FC II
2–3
Los Angeles FC II
(5 last)
- Los Angeles FC II1-0Minnesota United FC II
- Los Angeles FC II1-0Minnesota United FC II
- Los Angeles FC II4-1Minnesota United FC II
- Los Angeles FC II0-1Minnesota United FC II
- Minnesota United FC II2-0Los Angeles FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Minnesota United FC II 1516 · Los Angeles FC II 1521
| Minnesota United FC II | Draw | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 23% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Los Angeles FC II: 3-0-2.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Minnesota United FC II | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.4 | 2.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Minnesota United FC II 2–0–3 Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 26/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 17/03/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 10/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 17/07/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 21 | 62 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 56 |
| 3 | Ventura County FC | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 57 | 34 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo II | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 45 | 45 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 38 | 44 |
| 7 | Minnesota United FC II | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 40 | 42 |
| 8 | North Texas SC | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 40 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 43 | 39 |
| 10 | The Town | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 36 | 39 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 58 | 30 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 60 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 73 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 51 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Minnesota United FC II | Los Angeles FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 5-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Colorado Rapids II | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| North Texas SC | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| The Town | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Portland Timbers II | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 0-1 L | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Los Angeles FC II (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Minnesota United FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
4-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 31/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Minnesota United FC II vs Los Angeles FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Minnesota United FC II win (49%). Probabilities: Minnesota United FC II 49%, draw 24%, Los Angeles FC II 27%.
How many goals are expected in Minnesota United FC II vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Minnesota United FC II 1.79 · Los Angeles FC II 1.26), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Minnesota United FC II vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.