Football · Brazil Copa Rio · 08/07, 19:45

Prediction: Araruama FC vs Sao Cristovao RJ

Expected goals: 2.13 (Araruama FC 1.26 · Sao Cristovao RJ 0.87). The model gives 45% home, 29% draw, 26% away. Under 2.25 goals (53%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Araruama FC is 3-3-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Sao Cristovao RJ 5-3-2 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Araruama FC and 1 for Sao Cristovao RJ, with 1 draw.

45%1
45% 29% 26%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Araruama FC 1493 · Sao Cristovao RJ 1530
Araruama FCDrawSao Cristovao RJ
Our model44%32%24%
Market46%27%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.13Araruama FC 1.26 · Sao Cristovao RJ 0.87
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 53%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Araruama FCSao Cristovao RJ
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.11.3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.32.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.3 / 0.86.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Araruama FC 011 Sao Cristovao RJ

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
17/06/26
Brazil Copa Rio
Sao Cristovao RJ0-0
HT 0-0
Araruama FC
08/07/18
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Sao Cristovao RJ1-0
HT 0-0
Araruama FC

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Araruama FC

LWLLLDDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Cabofriense
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 1-1 44 D
27/06 Olaria AC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 1-0 W
24/06 America RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 1-0 67 W
17/06 Sao Cristovao RJ
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 0-0 29 D
14/06 Sao Goncalo
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 1-1 19 D
06/06 Resende RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 0-1 45 L
03/06 Marica RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-1 0-1 29 L
23/05 Perolas Negras
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 1-3 35 L
16/05 Americano RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-1 2-1 W
09/05 Audax Rio
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-1 2-3 48 L

Sao Cristovao RJ

WWWWWDDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/06 Araruama FC
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 0-0 109 D
22/11 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-1 31 L
15/11 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-1 0-1 55 L
08/11 Artsul Futebol Clube
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 1-1 37 D
05/11 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-1 2-2 56 D
01/11 Paduano EC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 2-0 511 W
25/10 Friburguense
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 3-1 27 W
18/10 Petropolis
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 1-0 37 W
11/10 Duque de Caxias FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 2-0 610 W
04/10 Carapebus/Campos
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 2-0 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Araruama FC vs Sao Cristovao RJ?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Araruama FC win (45%). Probabilities: Araruama FC 45%, draw 29%, Sao Cristovao RJ 26%.

How many goals are expected in Araruama FC vs Sao Cristovao RJ?

The model expects 2.13 goals (Araruama FC 1.26 · Sao Cristovao RJ 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Araruama FC vs Sao Cristovao RJ?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.