Football · Brazil Copa Rio · 16/07, 00:30
Prediction: Resende RJ vs Sampaio Correa RJ
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Resende RJ1.17
Sampaio Correa RJ1.58
1X2
Resende RJ
Draw
Sampaio Correa RJ
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Resende RJ
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Sampaio Correa RJ
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Resende RJ
1–0
Sampaio Correa RJ
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Resende RJ 1555 · Sampaio Correa RJ 1450
| Resende RJ | Draw | Sampaio Correa RJ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 27% | 46% |
| Market | 27% | 27% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Resende RJ (rating 1555 vs 1450).
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Resende RJ | Sampaio Correa RJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.6 | 2 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 5.9 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Resende RJ 1–0–0 Sampaio Correa RJ
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/23 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Resende RJ | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Sampaio Correa RJ |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Resende RJ
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 12 | L |
| 24/06 | SE Belford Roxo Brazil Copa Rio |
3-0 | 8-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | SE Belford Roxo Brazil Copa Rio |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Sampaio Correa RJ
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Noroeste Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 24/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 16/05 | Nova Iguacu Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 13 | L |
| 09/05 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | Avai Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/04 | Operario PR Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Resende RJ vs Sampaio Correa RJ?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sampaio Correa RJ win (46%). Probabilities: Resende RJ 27%, draw 27%, Sampaio Correa RJ 46%.
How many goals are expected in Resende RJ vs Sampaio Correa RJ?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Resende RJ 1.17 · Sampaio Correa RJ 1.58), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Resende RJ vs Sampaio Correa RJ?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.