Football · Brazil Copa Rio · 16/07, 19:45
Prediction: Sao Goncalo vs Volta Redonda
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Sao Goncalo1.11
Volta Redonda1.21
1X2
Sao Goncalo
Draw
Volta Redonda
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sao Goncalo
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Volta Redonda
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sao Goncalo
1–1–0
Volta Redonda
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sao Goncalo 1490 · Volta Redonda 1497
| Sao Goncalo | Draw | Volta Redonda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 31% | 37% |
| Market | 33% | 30% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sao Goncalo | Volta Redonda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.6 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sao Goncalo 1–1–0 Volta Redonda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/18 Brazil Copa Rio | Volta Redonda | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Sao Goncalo |
| 07/08/18 Brazil Copa Rio | Sao Goncalo | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Volta Redonda |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sao Goncalo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/06 | Serrano Brazil Copa Rio |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 20/06 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Serrano Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/06 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 13/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Volta Redonda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 20/06 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | Avai Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Avai Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sao Goncalo vs Volta Redonda?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Volta Redonda win (37%). Probabilities: Sao Goncalo 32%, draw 30%, Volta Redonda 37%.
How many goals are expected in Sao Goncalo vs Volta Redonda?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Sao Goncalo 1.11 · Volta Redonda 1.21), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sao Goncalo vs Volta Redonda?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.