Prediction: Perolas Negras vs Marica RJ
| Perolas Negras | Draw | Marica RJ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Marica RJ: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Perolas Negras | Marica RJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.3 | 2.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.4 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Perolas Negras 0–3–3 Marica RJ
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Marica RJ | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Perolas Negras |
| 10/11/21 Brazil Copa Rio | Marica RJ | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Perolas Negras |
| 28/10/21 Brazil Copa Rio | Perolas Negras | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Marica RJ |
| 22/09/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 | Perolas Negras | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Marica RJ |
| 19/09/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 | Marica RJ | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Perolas Negras |
| 08/09/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 | Marica RJ | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Perolas Negras |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Perolas Negras | Marica RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Americano RJ | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Audax Rio | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Serrano | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Bonsucesso FC | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Araruama FC | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Olaria AC | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Marica RJ (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Perolas Negras
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 23/06 | Santa Cruz RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 17/06 | Santa Cruz RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
1-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
Marica RJ
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 10/06 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 30/05 | Nova Iguacu Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Perolas Negras vs Marica RJ?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Marica RJ win (38%). Probabilities: Perolas Negras 34%, draw 28%, Marica RJ 38%.
How many goals are expected in Perolas Negras vs Marica RJ?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Perolas Negras 1.26 · Marica RJ 1.35), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Perolas Negras vs Marica RJ?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.