Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 28/08, 20:00
Prediction: RKC vs PSV Reserves
Team pages: RKC · PSV Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
RKC1.9
PSV Reserves1.05
1X2
RKC
Draw
PSV Reserves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
RKC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
PSV Reserves
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
RKC
2–4
PSV Reserves
(6 last)
- RKC4-1PSV Reserves
- PSV Reserves3-1RKC
- PSV Reserves2-1RKC
- RKC3-5PSV Reserves
- RKC3-2PSV Reserves
- PSV Reserves3-2RKC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · RKC 1510 · PSV Reserves 1473
| RKC | Draw | PSV Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours PSV Reserves: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RKC | PSV Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.7 | 2.9 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.4 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RKC 2–0–4 PSV Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | RKC | 4-1 HT 1-0 | PSV Reserves |
| 01/12/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | PSV Reserves | 3-1 HT 1-0 | RKC |
| 29/03/19 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | PSV Reserves | 2-1 HT 0-0 | RKC |
| 09/11/18 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | RKC | 3-5 HT 1-4 | PSV Reserves |
| 09/03/18 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | RKC | 3-2 HT 0-1 | PSV Reserves |
| 20/10/17 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | PSV Reserves | 3-2 HT 2-1 | RKC |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Maastricht | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Heracles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | VVV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | NAC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | PSV Reserves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | AZ Reserves | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | RKC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Top Oss | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Ajax Reserves | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RKC | PSV Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Roda JC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Den Bosch | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RKC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/04 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 03/04 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
PSV Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/03 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/03 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/03 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 27/02 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RKC vs PSV Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a RKC win (57%). Probabilities: RKC 57%, draw 23%, PSV Reserves 20%.
How many goals are expected in RKC vs PSV Reserves?
The model expects 2.95 goals (RKC 1.9 · PSV Reserves 1.05), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in RKC vs PSV Reserves?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.