Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 04/09, 20:00
Prediction: Vitesse vs Top Oss
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Vitesse2.01
Top Oss1.03
1X2
Vitesse
Draw
Top Oss
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Vitesse
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Top Oss
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vitesse
1–3–0
Top Oss
(4 last)
- Top Oss1-2Vitesse
- Vitesse0-0Top Oss
- Top Oss2-2Vitesse
- Vitesse0-0Top Oss
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vitesse (rating 1575 vs 1483).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vitesse | Top Oss | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 2.9 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vitesse 1–3–0 Top Oss
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Top Oss | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Vitesse |
| 07/12/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Vitesse | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Top Oss |
| 02/05/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Top Oss | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Vitesse |
| 02/11/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Vitesse | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Top Oss |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Maastricht | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Almere City FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | VVV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Roda JC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | PSV Reserves | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | NAC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | RKC | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Den Bosch | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 13 | FC Dordrecht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 14 | AZ Reserves | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Ajax Reserves | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 3 |
| 16 | Top Oss | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | FC Eindhoven | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
| 20 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vitesse | Top Oss |
|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch | 4-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Almere City FC | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| FC Utrecht Reserves | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Maastricht | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Ajax Reserves | 6-1 W | 2-1 W |
| PSV Reserves | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Vitesse (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vitesse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
3-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 17/08 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/04 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/04 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
3-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 20/03 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/03 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Top Oss
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/03 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vitesse vs Top Oss?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vitesse win (59%). Probabilities: Vitesse 59%, draw 23%, Top Oss 18%.
How many goals are expected in Vitesse vs Top Oss?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Vitesse 2.01 · Top Oss 1.03), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vitesse vs Top Oss?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.