Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 06/09, 16:45
Prediction: Maastricht vs Roda JC
Team pages: Maastricht · Roda JC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Maastricht1.25
Roda JC1.21
1X2
Maastricht
Draw
Roda JC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Maastricht
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Roda JC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maastricht
1–1–4
Roda JC
(6 last)
- Roda JC2-0Maastricht
- Maastricht0-0Roda JC
- Maastricht3-2Roda JC
- Roda JC1-0Maastricht
- Maastricht0-3Roda JC
- Roda JC1-0Maastricht
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roda JC (rating 1483 vs 1533).
- H2H favours Roda JC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maastricht | Roda JC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maastricht 1–1–4 Roda JC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Roda JC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Maastricht |
| 30/11/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Roda JC |
| 01/02/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Roda JC |
| 21/09/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Roda JC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Maastricht |
| 17/03/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Roda JC |
| 26/11/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Roda JC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Maastricht |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Maastricht | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Almere City FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | VVV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Roda JC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | PSV Reserves | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | NAC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | RKC | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Den Bosch | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 13 | FC Dordrecht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 14 | AZ Reserves | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Ajax Reserves | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 3 |
| 16 | Top Oss | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | FC Eindhoven | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
| 20 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maastricht | Roda JC |
|---|---|---|
| AZ Reserves | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Eindhoven | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Helmond Sport | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Emmen | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| RKC | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Willem II | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Roda JC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maastricht
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/08 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/08 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 17/04 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 10/04 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 06/04 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
Roda JC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/04 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maastricht vs Roda JC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maastricht win (36%). Probabilities: Maastricht 36%, draw 30%, Roda JC 34%.
How many goals are expected in Maastricht vs Roda JC?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Maastricht 1.25 · Roda JC 1.21), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Maastricht vs Roda JC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.