Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 04/09, 20:00

Prediction: Helmond Sport vs VVV

Team pages: Helmond Sport · VVV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Helmond Sport1.24

VVV1.63

1X2

28% 27% 45%

Helmond Sport Draw VVV

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Helmond Sport 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLDDWLDLDL

VVV 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Helmond Sport 3–1–2 VVV (6 last)

Helmond Sport2-0VVV
VVV2-1Helmond Sport
VVV4-1Helmond Sport
Helmond Sport3-0VVV
Helmond Sport1-1VVV
VVV0-4Helmond Sport

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VVV (rating 1414 vs 1527).
H2H favours Helmond Sport: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Helmond Sport	VVV
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	2.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.8	2.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.01

Under 31.79

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.78 → 2.78	Pinn 2.78
X	3.42 → 3.42	Pinn 3.42
2	2.42 → 2.42	Pinn 2.42

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:17	2.78	3.42	2.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Helmond Sport 3–1–2 VVV

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Helmond Sport	2-0 HT 0-0	VVV
13/09/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	2-1 HT 1-0	Helmond Sport
13/04/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	4-1 HT 1-0	Helmond Sport
30/08/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Helmond Sport	3-0 HT 1-0	VVV
01/03/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Helmond Sport	1-1 HT 0-1	VVV
01/10/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	0-4 HT 0-1	Helmond Sport

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	4	4	0	0	16	7	12
2	Maastricht	4	4	0	0	8	4	12
3	Almere City FC	4	3	1	0	11	3	10
4	VVV	4	3	0	1	11	5	9
5	FC Emmen	4	3	0	1	10	9	9
6	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
7	Roda JC	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
8	PSV Reserves	4	2	1	1	7	7	7
8	NAC	4	2	1	1	7	7	7
10	FC Volendam	4	2	0	2	11	5	6
11	RKC	4	0	4	0	6	6	4
12	FC Den Bosch	4	1	1	2	9	10	4
13	FC Dordrecht	4	1	1	2	5	10	4
14	AZ Reserves	4	1	0	3	7	8	3
15	Ajax Reserves	4	1	0	3	10	13	3
16	Top Oss	4	1	0	3	3	7	3
17	FC Eindhoven	4	1	0	3	6	11	3
18	Helmond Sport	4	0	2	2	5	7	2
19	De Graafschap	4	0	1	3	5	12	1
20	FC Utrecht Reserves	4	0	0	4	4	13	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Helmond Sport

DLDDWLDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	2-3	9	3	L
21/08	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
14/08	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
09/08	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
24/04	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
17/04	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
10/04	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
06/04	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-2	2-2	0	7	D
03/04	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
20/03	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-1	10	2	D

VVV

DWLDLWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	4-0	3	6	W
23/08	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
14/08	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-0	1	7	W
07/08	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	3-4	5	4	L
24/04	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-0	3-1	2	1	W
17/04	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
11/04	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	3-3	9	1	D
06/04	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
03/04	Cambuur Leeuwarden Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	3-0	6	6	W
20/03	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	2-2	5	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Helmond Sport vs VVV?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VVV win (45%). Probabilities: Helmond Sport 28%, draw 27%, VVV 45%.

How many goals are expected in Helmond Sport vs VVV?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Helmond Sport 1.24 · VVV 1.63), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Helmond Sport vs VVV?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.