Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 29/08, 16:30
Prediction: De Graafschap vs Almere City FC
Team pages: De Graafschap · Almere City FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.85Total
De Graafschap1.89
Almere City FC1.96
1X2
De Graafschap
Draw
Almere City FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
De Graafschap
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Almere City FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
De Graafschap
1–2–3
Almere City FC
(6 last)
- De Graafschap2-2Almere City FC
- Almere City FC3-1De Graafschap
- Almere City FC2-0De Graafschap
- De Graafschap3-2Almere City FC
- Almere City FC2-2De Graafschap
- De Graafschap1-2Almere City FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almere City FC (rating 1478 vs 1544).
- H2H favours Almere City FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| De Graafschap | Almere City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.8 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 1.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · De Graafschap 1–2–3 Almere City FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | De Graafschap | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Almere City FC |
| 06/05/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Almere City FC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | De Graafschap |
| 18/01/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Almere City FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | De Graafschap |
| 29/09/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | De Graafschap | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Almere City FC |
| 20/01/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Almere City FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | De Graafschap |
| 16/09/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | De Graafschap | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Almere City FC |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Maastricht | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Heracles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Roda JC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | NAC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | FC Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | VVV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | PSV Reserves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | AZ Reserves | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | RKC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Top Oss | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Ajax Reserves | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | De Graafschap | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| VVV | 3-3 D | 1-3 L |
| Willem II | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: De Graafschap (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
De Graafschap
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Cambuur Leeuwarden Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 06/04 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Almere City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Almere City FC win (40%). Probabilities: De Graafschap 37%, draw 23%, Almere City FC 40%.
How many goals are expected in De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
The model expects 3.85 goals (De Graafschap 1.89 · Almere City FC 1.96), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.