Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 14/09, 20:00
Prediction: FC Utrecht Reserves vs Ajax Reserves
Team pages: FC Utrecht Reserves · Ajax Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
FC Utrecht Reserves1.76
Ajax Reserves1.56
1X2
FC Utrecht Reserves
Draw
Ajax Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Utrecht Reserves
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Ajax Reserves
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Utrecht Reserves
2–1–3
Ajax Reserves
(6 last)
- Ajax Reserves0-2FC Utrecht Reserves
- FC Utrecht Reserves4-3Ajax Reserves
- FC Utrecht Reserves1-2Ajax Reserves
- Ajax Reserves0-0FC Utrecht Reserves
- FC Utrecht Reserves0-1Ajax Reserves
- Ajax Reserves2-1FC Utrecht Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Utrecht Reserves 1450 · Ajax Reserves 1455
| FC Utrecht Reserves | Draw | Ajax Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 25% | 34% |
| Market | 42% | 25% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ajax Reserves: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Utrecht Reserves | Ajax Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 1.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Utrecht Reserves 2–1–3 Ajax Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Ajax Reserves | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Utrecht Reserves |
| 25/08/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Utrecht Reserves | 4-3 HT 1-1 | Ajax Reserves |
| 28/02/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Utrecht Reserves | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Ajax Reserves |
| 18/10/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Ajax Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Utrecht Reserves |
| 05/02/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Utrecht Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ajax Reserves |
| 11/12/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Ajax Reserves | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FC Utrecht Reserves |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | VVV | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | PSV Reserves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 8 | RKC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 10 | AZ Reserves | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Helmond Sport | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | NAC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 14 | Ajax Reserves | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Den Bosch | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Dordrecht | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
| 18 | De Graafschap | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
| 19 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
| 20 | Top Oss | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Utrecht Reserves | Ajax Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| NAC | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Top Oss | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Utrecht Reserves (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Utrecht Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 31/08 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-5 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/08 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Ajax Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/08 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
3-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 24/04 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/04 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Utrecht Reserves vs Ajax Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Utrecht Reserves win (42%). Probabilities: FC Utrecht Reserves 42%, draw 25%, Ajax Reserves 33%.
How many goals are expected in FC Utrecht Reserves vs Ajax Reserves?
The model expects 3.32 goals (FC Utrecht Reserves 1.76 · Ajax Reserves 1.56), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Utrecht Reserves vs Ajax Reserves?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.