Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 11/09, 20:00
Prediction: FC Emmen vs De Graafschap
Team pages: FC Emmen · De Graafschap
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.28Total
FC Emmen2.69
De Graafschap1.58
1X2
FC Emmen
Draw
De Graafschap
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Emmen
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
De Graafschap
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Emmen
4–2
De Graafschap
(6 last)
- FC Emmen1-0De Graafschap
- De Graafschap2-3FC Emmen
- De Graafschap4-0FC Emmen
- FC Emmen3-0De Graafschap
- FC Emmen2-1De Graafschap
- De Graafschap2-0FC Emmen
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Emmen (rating 1534 vs 1423).
- H2H favours FC Emmen: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Emmen | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.3 | 1.4 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.8 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Emmen 4–0–2 De Graafschap
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Emmen | 1-0 HT 0-0 | De Graafschap |
| 05/09/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | De Graafschap | 2-3 HT 0-2 | FC Emmen |
| 24/01/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | De Graafschap | 4-0 HT 1-0 | FC Emmen |
| 25/11/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Emmen | 3-0 HT 2-0 | De Graafschap |
| 10/05/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Emmen | 2-1 HT 2-1 | De Graafschap |
| 31/10/23 Netherlands Cup | De Graafschap | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Emmen |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Maastricht | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | FC Emmen | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Almere City FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Vitesse | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | VVV | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
| 7 | PSV Reserves | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 8 | Roda JC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RKC | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | NAC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 11 | Ajax Reserves | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 7 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 6 |
| 13 | AZ Reserves | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Den Bosch | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | FC Dordrecht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Eindhoven | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 18 | Top Oss | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 1 |
| 20 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Emmen | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| VVV | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| AZ Reserves | 3-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Emmen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 5-3 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
3-3 | 6-4 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-2 | 0-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/04 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
De Graafschap
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 17/08 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Cambuur Leeuwarden Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Emmen vs De Graafschap?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Emmen win (60%). Probabilities: FC Emmen 60%, draw 19%, De Graafschap 21%.
How many goals are expected in FC Emmen vs De Graafschap?
The model expects 4.28 goals (FC Emmen 2.69 · De Graafschap 1.58), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Emmen vs De Graafschap?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.