Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 12/09, 16:30
Prediction: Roda JC vs Vitesse
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Roda JC1.44
Vitesse1.4
1X2
Roda JC
Draw
Vitesse
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Roda JC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Vitesse
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Roda JC
2–2–2
Vitesse
(6 last)
- Vitesse1-1Roda JC
- Roda JC0-1Vitesse
- Vitesse2-2Roda JC
- Vitesse3-0Roda JC
- Roda JC3-0Vitesse
- Vitesse0-3Roda JC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vitesse (rating 1521 vs 1570).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Roda JC | Vitesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 2.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.1 | 2.1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roda JC 2–2–2 Vitesse
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/26 Europe Friendlies | Vitesse | 1-1 | Roda JC |
| 16/03/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Roda JC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Vitesse |
| 24/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Vitesse | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Roda JC |
| 19/04/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Vitesse | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Roda JC |
| 26/11/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Roda JC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Vitesse |
| 31/03/18 Netherlands Eredivisie | Vitesse | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Roda JC |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Maastricht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | FC Emmen | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Almere City FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Vitesse | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | VVV | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
| 7 | AZ Reserves | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | Roda JC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | PSV Reserves | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | RKC | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 11 | NAC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 12 | Ajax Reserves | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 7 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Den Bosch | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | FC Dordrecht | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Eindhoven | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 18 | Top Oss | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 1 |
| 20 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Roda JC | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| RKC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Vitesse (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roda JC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/04 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Vitesse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
3-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 17/08 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/04 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/04 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
3-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 20/03 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roda JC vs Vitesse?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Roda JC win (37%). Probabilities: Roda JC 37%, draw 27%, Vitesse 35%.
How many goals are expected in Roda JC vs Vitesse?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Roda JC 1.44 · Vitesse 1.4), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Roda JC vs Vitesse?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.