Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 16/10, 20:00

Prediction: FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse

Team pages: FC Eindhoven · Vitesse

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

FC Eindhoven1.59

Vitesse1.6

1X2

37% 26% 37%

FC Eindhoven Draw Vitesse

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Eindhoven 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWWLDL

Vitesse 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLWLDL

Head-to-head

FC Eindhoven 0–3–1 Vitesse (4 last)

Vitesse1-1FC Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven0-4Vitesse
FC Eindhoven3-3Vitesse
Vitesse1-1FC Eindhoven

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vitesse (rating 1455 vs 1512).
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Eindhoven	Vitesse
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.2	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.5	2.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.83

Under 31.96

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.46 → 3.46	Pinn 3.46
X	3.83 → 3.83	Pinn 3.83
2	1.93 → 1.93	Pinn 1.93

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:28 +197’	3.46	3.83	1.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Eindhoven 0–3–1 Vitesse

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/02/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Vitesse	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Eindhoven
17/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven	0-4 HT 0-1	Vitesse
07/03/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven	3-3 HT 1-2	Vitesse
30/08/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Vitesse	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Eindhoven

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	10	8	1	1	31	12	25
2	Almere City FC	10	7	1	2	22	7	22
3	VVV	10	7	0	3	26	14	21
4	FC Emmen	10	6	1	3	22	18	19
5	NAC	10	5	2	3	20	19	17
6	Roda JC	10	4	4	2	10	8	16
7	Maastricht	10	5	1	4	13	20	16
8	FC Volendam	10	5	0	5	22	17	15
9	RKC	10	3	5	2	19	15	14
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15	15	14
11	AZ Reserves	10	4	1	5	22	18	13
12	PSV Reserves	10	3	4	3	15	17	13
13	Top Oss	10	4	0	6	15	15	12
14	FC Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14	18	11
15	FC Eindhoven	10	3	2	5	15	22	11
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13	23	11
17	Helmond Sport	10	2	3	5	16	19	9
18	Ajax Reserves	10	2	2	6	13	25	8
19	FC Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13	27	8
20	FC Utrecht Reserves	10	2	1	7	16	23	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Eindhoven	Vitesse
Almere City FC	0-3 L	0-3 L
NAC	2-4 L	2-2 D
FC Utrecht Reserves	0-0 D	3-1 W
Heracles	1-3 L	0-2 L
FC Den Bosch	2-5 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vitesse (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Eindhoven

WLLLDWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
03/10	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-2	8	6	D
26/09	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	2-4	2	3	L
18/09	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
11/09	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
07/09	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
30/08	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
21/08	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-3	2-5	1	1	L
14/08	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-3	6	1	L
10/08	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	3	2	W

Vitesse

DWLWWLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-2	8	5	L
03/10	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	2-2	8	5	D
26/09	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
19/09	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-1	6	0	W
12/09	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
04/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-1	9	4	W
28/08	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-0	4-1	0	3	W
21/08	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-3	7	4	L
17/08	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-1	3	3	W
07/08	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-1	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Eindhoven win (37%). Probabilities: FC Eindhoven 37%, draw 26%, Vitesse 37%.

How many goals are expected in FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?

The model expects 3.19 goals (FC Eindhoven 1.59 · Vitesse 1.6), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.