Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 24/10, 16:30

Prediction: FC Dordrecht vs VVV

Team pages: FC Dordrecht · VVV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

FC Dordrecht1.7

VVV2.06

1X2

31% 24% 45%

FC Dordrecht Draw VVV

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Dordrecht 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLWDL

VVV 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLWWD

Head-to-head

FC Dordrecht 4–2 VVV (6 last)

VVV3-1FC Dordrecht
FC Dordrecht2-0VVV
FC Dordrecht4-0VVV
VVV2-3FC Dordrecht
FC Dordrecht1-0VVV
VVV3-1FC Dordrecht

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Dordrecht 1432 · VVV 1571

	FC Dordrecht	Draw	VVV
Our model	31%	23%	46%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VVV (rating 1432 vs 1571).
H2H favours FC Dordrecht: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Dordrecht	VVV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.7	2.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.4	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.6	3.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.80

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:12 +1’	3.00	3.80	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Dordrecht 4–0–2 VVV

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/12/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	3-1 HT 3-0	FC Dordrecht
03/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	2-0 HT 0-0	VVV
14/03/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	4-0 HT 2-0	VVV
18/10/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	2-3 HT 2-1	FC Dordrecht
16/02/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	1-0 HT 0-0	VVV
08/12/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	3-1 HT 1-1	FC Dordrecht

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	11	9	1	1	36	13	28
2	Almere City FC	11	7	1	3	23	9	22
3	VVV	11	7	1	3	30	18	22
4	FC Emmen	11	7	1	3	24	19	22
5	NAC	11	6	2	3	22	19	20
6	Vitesse	11	5	2	4	16	15	17
7	Roda JC	10	4	4	2	10	8	16
8	FC Volendam	11	5	1	5	23	18	16
9	Maastricht	11	5	1	5	14	25	16
10	RKC	11	3	6	2	20	16	15
11	AZ Reserves	11	4	2	5	26	22	14
12	FC Den Bosch	11	4	2	5	16	19	14
13	PSV Reserves	10	3	4	3	15	17	13
14	Top Oss	11	4	0	7	16	17	12
15	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13	23	11
16	FC Eindhoven	11	3	2	6	15	23	11
17	Helmond Sport	11	2	3	6	16	21	9
18	Ajax Reserves	10	2	2	6	13	25	8
19	FC Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13	27	8
20	FC Utrecht Reserves	10	2	1	7	16	23	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Dordrecht	VVV
FC Emmen	0-3 L	4-0 W
Top Oss	0-3 L	3-1 W
AZ Reserves	3-6 L	4-4 D
FC Volendam	1-6 L	2-3 L
Roda JC	0-1 L	2-0 W
Ajax Reserves	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: VVV (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Dordrecht

WDLLLLLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
03/10	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
25/09	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
18/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	6	6	L
11/09	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
05/09	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-3	3-6	2	5	L
28/08	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-3	1-6	3	4	L
21/08	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
14/08	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
07/08	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	8	7	W

VVV

WWWLWWLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	4-4	7	7	D
09/10	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	3-0	10	3	W
04/10	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-0	6	7	W
26/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-3	2-3	7	1	L
18/09	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	3-1	4	2	W
11/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	3-1	7	3	W
04/09	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	2-4	8	5	L
30/08	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	4-0	3	6	W
23/08	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
14/08	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-0	1	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Dordrecht vs VVV?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VVV win (45%). Probabilities: FC Dordrecht 31%, draw 24%, VVV 45%.

How many goals are expected in FC Dordrecht vs VVV?

The model expects 3.75 goals (FC Dordrecht 1.7 · VVV 2.06), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Dordrecht vs VVV?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.