Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: FC Den Bosch vs Maastricht

Team pages: FC Den Bosch · Maastricht

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

FC Den Bosch1.78

Maastricht1.52

1X2

43% 25% 32%

FC Den Bosch Draw Maastricht

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Den Bosch 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Maastricht 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Den Bosch 1–1–4 Maastricht (6 last)

FC Den Bosch1-2Maastricht
Maastricht2-4FC Den Bosch
Maastricht5-0FC Den Bosch
Maastricht2-1FC Den Bosch
FC Den Bosch1-1Maastricht
Maastricht1-0FC Den Bosch

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Maastricht: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Den Bosch	Maastricht
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.5	2.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.97

Under 3.51.83

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.76 → 1.77▲	Pinn 1.77
X	4.07 → 4.12▲	Pinn 4.12
2	3.73 → 3.77▲	Pinn 3.77

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:12 +57’	1.76	4.07	3.73
18:12 +66’	1.77▲	4.12▲	3.77▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Den Bosch 1–1–4 Maastricht

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	1-2 HT 1-1	Maastricht
16/09/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Maastricht	2-4 HT 2-2	FC Den Bosch
18/01/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Maastricht	5-0 HT 4-0	FC Den Bosch
30/10/24 Netherlands Cup	Maastricht	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Den Bosch
23/08/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	1-1 HT 1-0	Maastricht
23/03/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Maastricht	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Den Bosch

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	11	9	1	1	36	13	28
2	Almere City FC	11	7	1	3	23	9	22
3	VVV	11	7	1	3	30	18	22
4	FC Emmen	11	7	1	3	24	19	22
5	NAC	11	6	2	3	22	19	20
6	Vitesse	11	5	2	4	16	15	17
7	Roda JC	10	4	4	2	10	8	16
8	FC Volendam	11	5	1	5	23	18	16
9	Maastricht	11	5	1	5	14	25	16
10	RKC	11	3	6	2	20	16	15
11	AZ Reserves	11	4	2	5	26	22	14
12	FC Den Bosch	11	4	2	5	16	19	14
13	PSV Reserves	10	3	4	3	15	17	13
14	Top Oss	11	4	0	7	16	17	12
15	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13	23	11
16	FC Eindhoven	11	3	2	6	15	23	11
17	Helmond Sport	11	2	3	6	16	21	9
18	Ajax Reserves	10	2	2	6	13	25	8
19	FC Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13	27	8
20	FC Utrecht Reserves	10	2	1	7	16	23	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Den Bosch	Maastricht
Top Oss	2-1 W	1-4 L
AZ Reserves	1-0 W	2-1 W
Helmond Sport	2-1 W	2-0 W
FC Volendam	0-2 L	1-0 W
FC Eindhoven	5-2 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Den Bosch

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	2-1	2	2	W
09/10	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-0	7	1	W
03/10	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
27/09	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
18/09	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
13/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-2	8	5	L
07/09	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-3	10	2	L
28/08	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-3	1-4	16	3	L
21/08	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-1	5-2	6	1	W
14/08	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	2-3	6	1	L

Maastricht

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
03/10	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-4	7	0	L
26/09	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
18/09	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-3	1-6	3	2	L
11/09	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-4	5	2	L
06/09	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
28/08	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
21/08	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
14/08	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-2	2	1	W
09/08	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-1	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Den Bosch vs Maastricht?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Den Bosch win (43%). Probabilities: FC Den Bosch 43%, draw 25%, Maastricht 32%.

How many goals are expected in FC Den Bosch vs Maastricht?

The model expects 3.3 goals (FC Den Bosch 1.78 · Maastricht 1.52), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Den Bosch vs Maastricht?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.