Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: Vitesse vs FC Emmen

Team pages: Vitesse · FC Emmen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Vitesse1.82

FC Emmen1.65

1X2

41% 24% 34%

Vitesse Draw FC Emmen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Vitesse 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLDLW

FC Emmen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWDWW

Head-to-head

Vitesse 3–3–0 FC Emmen (6 last)

Vitesse3-3FC Emmen
FC Emmen2-4Vitesse
Vitesse2-0FC Emmen
FC Emmen3-3Vitesse
FC Emmen2-2Vitesse
Vitesse2-1FC Emmen

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vitesse: 3-3-0.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vitesse	FC Emmen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	2.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.5	3.9 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:40

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.43 → 2.43	Pinn 2.43
X	3.59 → 3.59	Pinn 3.59
2	2.66 → 2.66	Pinn 2.66

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:46 +54’	2.43	3.59	2.66

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vitesse 3–3–0 FC Emmen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Vitesse	3-3 HT 3-1	FC Emmen
30/09/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Emmen	2-4 HT 1-2	Vitesse
10/02/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Vitesse	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Emmen
16/09/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Emmen	3-3 HT 1-1	Vitesse
04/02/23 Netherlands Eredivisie	FC Emmen	2-2 HT 1-2	Vitesse
22/10/22 Netherlands Eredivisie	Vitesse	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Emmen

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	10	8	1	1	31	12	25
2	Almere City FC	11	7	1	3	23	9	22
3	VVV	11	7	1	3	30	18	22
4	FC Emmen	11	7	1	3	24	19	22
5	NAC	11	6	2	3	22	19	20
6	Vitesse	11	5	2	4	16	15	17
7	Roda JC	10	4	4	2	10	8	16
8	Maastricht	10	5	1	4	13	20	16
9	FC Volendam	10	5	0	5	22	17	15
10	RKC	10	3	5	2	19	15	14
11	AZ Reserves	11	4	2	5	26	22	14
12	FC Den Bosch	11	4	2	5	16	19	14
13	PSV Reserves	10	3	4	3	15	17	13
14	Top Oss	11	4	0	7	16	17	12
15	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13	23	11
16	FC Eindhoven	11	3	2	6	15	23	11
17	Helmond Sport	11	2	3	6	16	21	9
18	Ajax Reserves	10	2	2	6	13	25	8
19	FC Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13	27	8
20	FC Utrecht Reserves	10	2	1	7	16	23	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vitesse	FC Emmen
FC Eindhoven	1-0 W	1-3 L
FC Volendam	0-2 L	5-3 W
Top Oss	2-1 W	1-0 W
Almere City FC	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Emmen (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vitesse

WLWWLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
09/10	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-2	8	5	L
03/10	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	2-2	8	5	D
26/09	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
19/09	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-1	6	0	W
12/09	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
04/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-1	9	4	W
28/08	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-0	4-1	0	3	W
21/08	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-3	7	4	L
17/08	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-1	3	3	W

FC Emmen

WWLWLLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	2-1	8	5	W
09/10	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	3-0	3	5	W
03/10	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
26/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-0	11	1	W
18/09	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-3	2	4	L
11/09	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	13	6	L
04/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	5-3	6	5	W
30/08	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-4	9	6	L
21/08	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
17/08	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-3	6-4	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vitesse vs FC Emmen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vitesse win (41%). Probabilities: Vitesse 41%, draw 24%, FC Emmen 34%.

How many goals are expected in Vitesse vs FC Emmen?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Vitesse 1.82 · FC Emmen 1.65), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vitesse vs FC Emmen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.