Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 16/10, 20:00

Prediction: VVV vs AZ Reserves

Team pages: VVV · AZ Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.8Total

VVV2.24

AZ Reserves1.55

1X2

52% 22% 26%

VVV Draw AZ Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

VVV 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWLWW

AZ Reserves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLDWL

Head-to-head

VVV 2–4 AZ Reserves (6 last)

VVV1-3AZ Reserves
AZ Reserves0-2VVV
AZ Reserves3-0VVV
VVV0-1AZ Reserves
VVV2-1AZ Reserves
AZ Reserves2-1VVV

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VVV (rating 1545 vs 1497).
H2H favours AZ Reserves: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VVV	AZ Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.4	2.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.5	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.83

Under 3.51.96

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.18 → 2.18	Pinn 2.18
X	3.91 → 3.91	Pinn 3.91
2	2.84 → 2.84	Pinn 2.84

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:28 +197’	2.18	3.91	2.84

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VVV 2–0–4 AZ Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/01/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	1-3 HT 0-1	AZ Reserves
07/11/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	AZ Reserves	0-2 HT 0-1	VVV
03/02/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	AZ Reserves	3-0 HT 1-0	VVV
08/11/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	0-1 HT 0-0	AZ Reserves
10/07/24 Europe Friendlies	VVV	2-1 HT 1-1	AZ Reserves
22/04/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	AZ Reserves	2-1 HT 0-1	VVV

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	10	8	1	1	31	12	25
2	Almere City FC	10	7	1	2	22	7	22
3	VVV	10	7	0	3	26	14	21
4	FC Emmen	10	6	1	3	22	18	19
5	NAC	10	5	2	3	20	19	17
6	Roda JC	10	4	4	2	10	8	16
7	Maastricht	10	5	1	4	13	20	16
8	FC Volendam	10	5	0	5	22	17	15
9	RKC	10	3	5	2	19	15	14
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15	15	14
11	AZ Reserves	10	4	1	5	22	18	13
12	PSV Reserves	10	3	4	3	15	17	13
13	Top Oss	10	4	0	6	15	15	12
14	FC Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14	18	11
15	FC Eindhoven	10	3	2	5	15	22	11
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13	23	11
17	Helmond Sport	10	2	3	5	16	19	9
18	Ajax Reserves	10	2	2	6	13	25	8
19	FC Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13	27	8
20	FC Utrecht Reserves	10	2	1	7	16	23	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VVV	AZ Reserves
FC Volendam	2-3 L	4-1 W
FC Utrecht Reserves	3-1 W	2-1 W
FC Emmen	4-0 W	1-3 L
De Graafschap	2-1 W	5-2 W
Heracles	3-4 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VVV

LWWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	3-0	10	3	W
04/10	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-0	6	7	W
26/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-3	2-3	7	1	L
18/09	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	3-1	4	2	W
11/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	3-1	7	3	W
04/09	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	2-4	8	5	L
30/08	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	4-0	3	6	W
23/08	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
14/08	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-0	1	7	W
07/08	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	3-4	5	4	L

AZ Reserves

LWLLWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	10	1	L
18/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	4-1	5	2	W
14/09	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
11/09	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-3	1	2	L
05/09	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-2	6-3	6	5	W
31/08	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
28/08	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
21/08	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-3	3	3	L
17/08	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	5-2	3	7	W
10/08	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-1	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VVV vs AZ Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VVV win (52%). Probabilities: VVV 52%, draw 22%, AZ Reserves 26%.

How many goals are expected in VVV vs AZ Reserves?

The model expects 3.8 goals (VVV 2.24 · AZ Reserves 1.55), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VVV vs AZ Reserves?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.