Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 17/10, 16:30

Prediction: FC Emmen vs Almere City FC

Team pages: FC Emmen · Almere City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

FC Emmen1.79

Almere City FC1.67

1X2

40% 24% 35%

FC Emmen Draw Almere City FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Emmen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Almere City FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Emmen 1–1–4 Almere City FC (6 last)

FC Emmen4-0Almere City FC
Almere City FC4-2FC Emmen
FC Emmen1-4Almere City FC
FC Emmen1-2Almere City FC
Almere City FC2-0FC Emmen
Almere City FC0-0FC Emmen

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Almere City FC: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Emmen	Almere City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.8	2.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.5	2.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.97

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.22 → 2.22	Pinn 2.22
X	3.51 → 3.51	Pinn 3.51
2	3.02 → 3.02	Pinn 3.02

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:18 +424’	2.22	3.51	3.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Emmen 1–1–4 Almere City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Europe Friendlies	FC Emmen	4-0 HT 2-0	Almere City FC
20/12/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC	4-2 HT 2-0	FC Emmen
17/08/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Emmen	1-4 HT 1-3	Almere City FC
11/06/23 Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs	FC Emmen	1-2 HT 0-0	Almere City FC
06/06/23 Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs	Almere City FC	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Emmen
11/02/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Emmen

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	10	8	1	1	31	12	25
2	Almere City FC	10	7	1	2	22	7	22
3	VVV	10	7	0	3	26	14	21
4	FC Emmen	10	6	1	3	22	18	19
5	NAC	10	5	2	3	20	19	17
6	Roda JC	10	4	4	2	10	8	16
7	Maastricht	10	5	1	4	13	20	16
8	FC Volendam	10	5	0	5	22	17	15
9	RKC	10	3	5	2	19	15	14
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15	15	14
11	AZ Reserves	10	4	1	5	22	18	13
12	PSV Reserves	10	3	4	3	15	17	13
13	Top Oss	10	4	0	6	15	15	12
14	FC Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14	18	11
15	FC Eindhoven	10	3	2	5	15	22	11
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13	23	11
17	Helmond Sport	10	2	3	5	16	19	9
18	Ajax Reserves	10	2	2	6	13	25	8
19	FC Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13	27	8
20	FC Utrecht Reserves	10	2	1	7	16	23	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Emmen	Almere City FC
FC Dordrecht	3-0 W	2-3 L
FC Eindhoven	1-3 L	3-0 W
De Graafschap	1-2 L	4-1 W
FC Volendam	5-3 W	1-0 W
Ajax Reserves	6-4 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Emmen (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Emmen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	3-0	3	5	W
03/10	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
26/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-0	11	1	W
18/09	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-3	2	4	L
11/09	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	13	6	L
04/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	5-3	6	5	W
30/08	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-4	9	6	L
21/08	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
17/08	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-3	6-4	9	3	W
07/08	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	0	4	W

Almere City FC

DWWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
03/10	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/09	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-3	4	2	L
18/09	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
11/09	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	4-0	4	2	W
04/09	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
29/08	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	4-1	5	2	W
21/08	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	3-0	3	4	W
14/08	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-1	3	2	W
08/08	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	5	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Emmen vs Almere City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Emmen win (40%). Probabilities: FC Emmen 40%, draw 24%, Almere City FC 35%.

How many goals are expected in FC Emmen vs Almere City FC?

The model expects 3.46 goals (FC Emmen 1.79 · Almere City FC 1.67), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Emmen vs Almere City FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.