Prediction: Lorient vs Toulouse
Team pages: Lorient · Toulouse
- Toulouse1-0Lorient
- Lorient1-1Toulouse
- Lorient1-2Toulouse
- Toulouse1-1Lorient
- Lorient0-1Toulouse
- Toulouse2-2Lorient
| Lorient | Draw | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorient (rating 1512 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Toulouse: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lorient | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorient 0–3–3 Toulouse
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 France Ligue 1 | Toulouse | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lorient |
| 09/11/25 France Ligue 1 | Lorient | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Toulouse |
| 28/04/24 France Ligue 1 | Lorient | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Toulouse |
| 03/12/23 France Ligue 1 | Toulouse | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Lorient |
| 23/04/23 France Ligue 1 | Lorient | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Toulouse |
| 21/08/22 France Ligue 1 | Toulouse | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Lorient |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Rennes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 6 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Paris FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Lorient | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Troyes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Angers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | PSG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Nice | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lorient | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Lens | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| PSG | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Strasbourg | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Lyon | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lorient (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorient
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Toulouse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/08 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorient vs Toulouse?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lorient win (36%). Probabilities: Lorient 36%, draw 29%, Toulouse 34%.
How many goals are expected in Lorient vs Toulouse?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Lorient 1.27 · Toulouse 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lorient vs Toulouse?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.