Football · France Ligue 1 · 12/09, 20:45

Prediction: Auxerre vs Nice

Team pages: Auxerre · Nice

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Auxerre1.24
Nice1.22
1X2
36% 29% 35%
Auxerre Draw Nice
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Auxerre 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DDDLWWWLLL
Nice 0-7-3 (W-D-L)
LDDDDLDDLD
Head-to-head
Auxerre 2–3–1 Nice (6 last)
  • Auxerre2-1Nice
  • Nice3-1Auxerre
  • Nice1-1Auxerre
  • Auxerre2-1Nice
  • Nice0-0Auxerre
  • Nice1-1Auxerre
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Auxerre 1496 · Nice 1504
AuxerreDrawNice
Our model36%30%35%
Market36%29%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Auxerre: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AuxerreNice
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.90.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.92.4 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.22.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Auxerre 231 Nice

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
France Ligue 1
Auxerre2-1
HT 1-1
Nice
23/08/25
France Ligue 1
Nice3-1
HT 2-1
Auxerre
14/03/25
France Ligue 1
Nice1-1
HT 1-0
Auxerre
18/08/24
France Ligue 1
Auxerre2-1
HT 1-1
Nice
06/01/24
France Cup
Nice0-0
HT 0-0
Auxerre
03/03/23
France Ligue 1
Nice1-1
HT 1-1
Auxerre

Standings · France Ligue 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Monaco 3300 519
2 Lyon 3210 627
3 Lille 3210 527
4 Rennes 3210 757
5 Strasbourg 3201 876
6 Brest 3120 655
7 Paris FC 2110 304
8 Lorient 3111 224
9 Troyes 3111 474
10 Marseille 2101 423
11 Lens 3102 653
12 Angers 3102 453
13 Le Mans 3021 562
13 PSG 3021 562
15 Nice 3021 142
16 Le Havre 3012 241
17 Toulouse 3012 251
18 Auxerre 3003 4110

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAuxerreNice
Lens 2-5 L 1-1 D
Lille 2-0 W 0-0 D
Le Havre 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Auxerre

DDDLWWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 Lyon
France Ligue 1
1-2 1-3 54 L
29/08 Angers
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-3 75 L
22/08 Lens
France Ligue 1
0-1 2-5 73 L
17/05 Lille
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-0 25 W
10/05 Nice
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-1 101 W
03/05 Angers
France Ligue 1
1-0 3-1 46 W
25/04 Lyon
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-3 33 L
19/04 Monaco
France Ligue 1
2-0 2-2 35 D
11/04 Nantes
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 34 D
05/04 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-1 54 D

Nice

LDDDDLDDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Le Mans
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-1 54 D
30/08 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-3 41 L
22/08 Lorient
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 91 D
17/05 Metz
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 103 D
10/05 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-2 11 L
02/05 Lens
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 76 D
26/04 Marseille
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 15 D
18/04 Lille
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 33 D
12/04 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-1 52 D
04/04 Strasbourg
France Ligue 1
0-3 1-3 101 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Auxerre vs Nice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Auxerre win (36%). Probabilities: Auxerre 36%, draw 29%, Nice 35%.

How many goals are expected in Auxerre vs Nice?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Auxerre 1.24 · Nice 1.22), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Auxerre vs Nice?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.